Kenta Maeda will get the start for the Twins (53-48, 29-22 home) as they host the Mariners (50-49, 21-24 away) at Target Field. The Mariners will give the starting nod to Luis Castillo. Check out my prediction for game one of this American League matchup between the Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins.

SEATTLE MARINERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Seattle Mariners -118

This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Monday, July 24th.

WHY BET THE SEATTLE MARINERS:

  • In their last five games, the Mariners have a record of 3-2.
  • So far this year, the Mariners lead the season series against the Twins 2-2.
  • The Twins’ are just 4-5 in Kenta Maeda’s nine starts.

SEATTLE MARINERS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD

Leading up to today’s game, the Mariners are 4th in the AL West on a record of 50-49. Overall, they have played in 31 different series, going 13-16-2. When playing above .500 teams, the Mariners are 50-49, and currently hold win percentages of 53.7% at home and 46.7% on the road.

Seattle Mariners starter Luis Castillo has posted a 6-7 record and 3.04 ERA so far this season. On the road, Castillo’s ERA is 3.83, while he has been even more impressive at home with a 2.89 ERA. His WHIP is 1.05 and opposing teams have only managed to hit .209 against him with a slugging percentage of .389.

In his most recent outing, Luis Castillo delivered a quality six-inning performance, allowing three runs but not earning a decision. Unfortunately, the Mariners were unable to capitalize on his efforts and fell to the Twins 6-3.

In their ten most recent games, the Mariners have put together a batting average of only .213, placing them 25th compared to the rest of the league. At 4.5 runs per game, Seattle is 17th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .231 and OPS of .702 which has them 23rd in baseball.

Teoscar Hern├índez is the Mariners’ home-run king in 2023, with 16 long balls and 55 RBIs to his name. His slugging percentage for the season stands at a solid .426.

WILL THE MINNESOTA TWINS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

For the season, the Twins are 53-48 overall, including going 24-26 on the road and 29-22 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Minnesota is above .500 at 14-13-4. In the AL Central, the Twins are currently 1st.

The Minnesota Twins will look to Kenta Maeda for the starting role, as he currently holds a 2-5 record. Maeda has made nine appearances thus far, with an ERA of 5.10 and a K/9 rate of 10.63. His FIP is 3.31 and his OBP stands at .291.

Kenta Maeda recently earned a quality start but was unable to secure a decision in the Twins’ 6-3 victory over the Mariners. The right-hander pitched 6 1/3 innings, allowing three hits and two earned runs.

For the season, the Twins’ offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game. Over their last five games they have swung the bats well, sitting 7th in the league in scoring, with a total of 23 runs. Overall, Minnesota’s team batting average is .236, putting them 19th in the MLB.

Alex Kirilloff has been on fire for the Twins over their last five games, leading the team in hits with a .220 average. His performance this season has been stellar, batting .282 and driving in 32 runs.