Omar Narvaez and the surging Seattle Mariners will be taking on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and this AL matchup will be televised on both RTNW and MASN.

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Baltimore (getting -115 odds) is hosting this one as the favorite over Seattle and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this day game at 9.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). There’s a runline of Mariners +1.5 (-200) and Orioles -1.5 (+170) for this matchup.

The Orioles are 50-105 straight up (SU) and 64-90 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 21.2 units for moneyline bettors and 32.6 units ATS. The Mariners are 66-89 SU and have gone 77-77 against the spread. They’ve lost 14.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 10.0 units ATS.

Orioles games have a 78-64-12 over/under record in 2019. Seattle has also been a great over bet with a total record of 84-59-11.

Marco Gonzales will get the nod for the visiting Mariners. The left-handed Gonzales is 16-11 with a 4.14 ERA and 139 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Orioles are going with lefty John Means (10-11, 3.65 ERA), who has 112 strikeouts and 35 walks to his name as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Means did not re a start against the Mariners in 2018.

Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 6.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 5.65 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.91 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The Baltimore offense has put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .257/.329/.471 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ offense has been led by second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini. Villar is slashing .276/.343/.459 with 23 home runs, 69 RBIs, 106 runs and 38 stolen bases, and Mancini’s line is .286/.356/.532 with 34 homers, 93 RBIs and 101 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.33 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 6.99 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.93, along with a K/9 of 8.71.

Mariners hitters have slashed .240/.321/.431 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Seattle’s hitters have been paced by catcher Omar Narvaez and right fielder Mallex Smith. Narvaez is hitting .284/.358/.472 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 63 runs scored. Smith (.229/.303/.339) has produced six homers, 37 RBIs, 69 runs and 45 steals.

The Mariners have lost 13.1 units and are 20-29 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 7.5 units and are 24-34 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 30 of those games, compared to 24 that went under.

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The over has hit in four of Baltimore’s last seven games.

The Mariners have a team OPS of .752 this season, including an OPS of .760 against left-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .724 overall and .745 against lefties.

The Mariners have won six of their last seven games SU.

Seattle has posted 24.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.2 over its last five.

The Mariners have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.