Tommy Henry will get the start for the Diamondbacks (55-48, 27-26 home) as they host the Mariners (52-50, 23-25 away) at Chase Field. The Mariners will give the starting nod to Logan Gilbert. Check out my prediction for game one of this interleague matchup between the Seattle Mariners and Arizona Diamondbacks.

SEATTLE MARINERS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Friday, July 28th.

WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:

  • In their ten most recent games as the favorite, the Mariners have gone just 3-7 against the runline.
  • Seattle has failed to cover the runline in two straight games when favored to win.
  • Opponents are hitting a healthy .341 against Logan Gilbert in his last two starts.

SEATTLE MARINERS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD

So far this season, the Mariners have a series record of 14-16-2 and overall record of 52-50. This mark has Seattle placed 4th in the AL West. On the road, they have a below .500 record of 23-25.

The Seattle Mariners will rely on starter Logan Gilbert, who has an 8-5 record in 2023. In his 20 appearances, he has an ERA of 3.88 and a K/9 rate of 8.82. Gilbert’s FIP is 3.66 and his OBP is .258 thus far this season.

Logan Gilbert did not factor into the decision in his last outing against the Blue Jays, surrendering five runs and eight hits. However, the Mariners were able to pull out a 9-8 victory.

As a team, the Mariners are ranked 11th in home runs, and have gone deep in three straight games. In terms of batting average, the Mariners are hitting .232 which is 22nd in the league and are averaging 4.5 runs per game (16th). Across Seattle’s last five games, they are averaging 6.4 runs per contest (4th).

Julio Rodríguez has been a powerful force for the Mariners this season, leading the team with 17 home runs and 55 RBIs. His slugging percentage of .427 is indicative of his impressive offensive performance.

WILL THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

For the season, the Diamondbacks are 55-48 overall, including going 28-22 on the road and 27-26 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Arizona is above .500 at 19-11-3. In the NL West, the Diamondbacks are currently 3rd.

Tommy Henry has a 5-3 record and an ERA of 4.01 so far this season. On the road, he has gone 4-2 with an ERA of 5.43 in eight appearances. At home, he has earned a 1-1 record and 3.07 ERA. His WHIP is 1.37, while opponents have hit .245 against him with a .410 slugging percentage.

Tommy Henry was handed the defeat in his last start against the Reds, surrendering four runs on four hits as the Diamondbacks dropped a 9-6 decision.

The Diamondbacks have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 5 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 7th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 12th in home runs and 8th in slugging percentage. Overall, Arizona is averaging 5 runs per game (7th).

The Diamondbacks’ Ketel Marte leads the team in hits with a .291 batting average. His slugging percentage is .515 and on-base percentage is .370 entering the game.