Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins Free Pick 06/13/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-13

The Seattle Mariners will be taking on the Minnesota Twins. This AL matchup will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports North to catch the action.

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins Odds

Vegas is listing Minnesota (-175) as the favorite over Seattle (+165). Bettors are able to gamble on the matchup’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 10 runs and -110 for under 10. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Mariners +1.5 runs (-135) and Twins -1.5 runs (+115).

The Mariners are just 29-42 SU and are 35-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.1 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 44-22 SU and 39-26 ATS. The team has gained 22.0 units for moneyline bettors and 10.3 units ATS. Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Twins games have a 34-27-4 over/under record so far in 2019. Mariners games have gone over 46 times, gone under 20 times and pushed on four occasions.

Southpaw Yusei Kikuchi is getting the nod for Seattle. Kikuchi is 3-4 with a 4.99 ERA and 51 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Minnesota this year.

The Twins are countering with Michael Pineda (4-3, 5.34 ERA). Pineda has 53 strikeouts and 11 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.25. Pineda is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA in one start against Seattle this year.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.40 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 6.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.24, along with a K/9 of 9.06.

The Mariners offense has slashed .243/.324/.455 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 6.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Domingo Santana and Edwin Encarnacion have paced Seattle’s offense. Santana is slashing .278/.341/.481 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Encarnacion has a .241 average with 21 homers, 49 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.3 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.60, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.73 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The Minnesota hitters have put up 6.0 runs per contest, including 6.2 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .303/.351/.585 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have led the charge for the Twins’ hitters this year. Polanco is hitting .339/.398/.575 with 10 home runs, 35 RBIs and 43 runs scored, and Rosario’s line sits at .267/.300/.533 with 19 homers, 52 RBIs and 46 runs.

The Mariners have lost 5.7 units and are 25-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 1.1 units and are 9-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

Seattle has recorded 23 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Minnesota has 27 XBH over its last five.

Minnesota has posted 26.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.4 over its last five.

Both teams have hit 24 home runs over their last 10 outings.

The Mariners have a total OPS of .779 this season and an OPS of .777 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .858 overall and .853 versus righties.

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