Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels Free Pick 07/12/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-07-12

Domingo Santana and the Seattle Mariners will head south to take on their divisional nemesis Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. The action begins at 10:07 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on RTNW and FSW.

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels Odds

The Mariners are just 39-55 SU and are 48-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.3 units ATS. Seattle is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Angels, on the other hand, are 45-46 SU and 50-41 ATS. The team’s lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.5 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 41-42-8 thus far in 2019. Seattle has been a strong over bet with a total record of 58-30-6.

The right-handed Mike Leake is getting the start for the visiting Mariners. Leake (7-7, 4.32 ERA) has racked up 83 punchouts in 114.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with six strikeouts and a 4.15 ERA against Los Angeles this year (two starts).

The Angels are putting the ball in the right hand of Taylor Cole (0-1, 4.58 ERA, 1.58 WHIP), who has 20 strikeouts and 11 walks. Cole is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Seattle this year.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 5.31 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.59 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 45 divisional games, Angels starters have an ERA of 5.92 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.98.

Los Angeles’ offense is putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .279/.323/.514 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Angels’ batters have been led by Mike Trout and David Fletcher. Trout is slashing .301/.453/.646 with 28 home runs, 67 RBIs, 71 runs and eight steals, and Fletcher’s line sits at .295/.359/.409 with five homers, 30 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 5.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.29 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 6.90 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.03, along with a K/9 of 8.75.

Mariners hitters have slashed .243/.324/.448 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Seattle’s offensive production has been powered by left fielder Domingo Santana and catcher Omar Narvaez. Santana is hitting .286/.354/.496 with 18 home runs, 63 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Narvaez is slashing .294/.366/.486 with 14 homers, 36 RBIs and 43 runs scored.

The Mariners have lost 2.5 units and are 37-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 7.4 units and are 36-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 25 that went under the total.

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

Seattle has tallied 13 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Los Angeles has 22 XBH over its last five.

The Mariners have a team OPS of .771 this season and an OPS of .769 against right-handed pitchers. The Angels’ OPS sits at .777 overall and .780 versus righties.

The Angels have dropped three of their last four games SU.

Seattle fielders have committed five errors over the last five games, compared to two errors for Los Angeles over its last five.

Both teams have hit 15 home runs over their last 10 games.

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