The Broncos and Gaels are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN. The Gaels will host the game at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, NV. The over/under for this game is set at 134.5 points, and Saint Mary’s is favored by -9 vs. Santa Clara in a West Coast conference matchup.

SANTA CLARA BRONCOS VS SAINT MARY’S GAELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Santa Clara Broncos +9

This game will be played at Orleans Arena at 9:00 ET on Monday, March 11th.

WHY BET THE SANTA CLARA BRONCOS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Gaels.
  • Even though we have Saint Mary’s winning straight-up, we like Santa Clara at +9.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will the Broncos Make it Happen on the Road?

After a 104-79 win over San Diego, Santa Clara comes into this game with a 20-12 record. So far, the Broncos have gone 11-5 in West Coast Conference play compared to their 9-7 non-conference record.

On the road this season, Santa Clara has gone 6-5, and they are coming off a game in which they were 2.9 points better than their opponents. Over their last 10 road games, the Broncos have gone 5-5.

As the underdog, Santa Clara has been great vs. the spread this year, going 9-4. On the road, the Broncos have been even better, going 9-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Santa Clara has an ATS record of 8-2.

Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Santa Clara’s games this season (149.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points, which is higher than today’s OU line. So far, 10 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line.

The Santa Clara offense is coming off a game where they scored 104 points against San Diego. They posted a field goal percentage of 48.4% and connected on 7 threes. On the offensive front, the Broncos have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, ranking 127th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 167th in terms of percentage and 106th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Santa Clara defense is giving up an average of 72.0 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Saint Mary’s, the Santa Clara defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Santa Clara made 35 free-throws vs. the Broncos.

Pressure Builds for Saint Mary’s as Home Favorites

At home this season, Saint Mary’s has gone 13-7, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home. On the year, they are 20-7 when favored, and they have been favored in 27 of their 31 games.

Coming off a 70-57 loss to Gonzaga, the Gaels enter this game with a 24-7 overall record, including a 15-1 mark in West Coast Conference action.

As the favorite, Saint Mary’s has gone 13-14 vs. the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gaels are 6-4. At home, their ATS record is 9-11 and they are just 5-5 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Saint Mary’s games this season (133.5). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 139 points.

The Saint Mary’s offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 57 points versus Gonzaga. During the game, they attempted 18 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 37.3%. Offensively, the Gaels hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 89th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 179th in terms of percentage and 166th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Saint Mary’s defense is giving up an average of 58.5 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Gonzaga, the Bulldogs finished with a field goal percentage of 37% and a total of 70 points vs. Saint Mary’s.