Betting on today’s Broncos and Gaels game? Catch the action at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA, as the Gaels hosts this showdown at 11:00 ET on ESPNU. The over/under for this game is set at 136 points, and Saint Mary’s is favored by -14 vs. Santa Clara in a West Coast conference matchup.
SANTA CLARA BRONCOS VS SAINT MARY’S GAELS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Santa Clara Broncos +14
This game will be played at University Credit Union Pavilion at 11:00 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.
WHY BET THE SANTA CLARA BRONCOS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Gaels.
- Even though we have Saint Mary’s winning straight-up, we like Santa Clara at +14.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Do the Broncos Stand a Chance on the Road?
On the season, Santa Clara has been the underdog nine times, going 5-4 in those games. Their average scoring margin on the road is +5.4 points per game, and they have won their last three games away from home.
In their most recent game, the Broncos defeated Pepperdine by a score of 94-71. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 7-3.
As the underdog, Santa Clara has gone 5-4 vs. the spread this season. On the road, the Broncos are 5-2 ATS this year and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. Overall, Santa Clara has an ATS record of 10-10 this season.
So far this season, the over/under record for Santa Clara games is 9-10-1. The average scoring total in their games is 147.8 points, which is almost identical to the average over/under line of 149.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 136 points is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year. Over their last three games, Santa Clara has an over/under record of 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 169 points.
Santa Clara’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 94 points vs. Pepperdine. Overall, they hit 58.2% of their shots from the field and went 20/26 from the free-throw line. The Santa Clara offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.4 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 37% of their looks from outside this season.
The Broncos’ defense is presently ranked 174th nationally, allowing an average of 72.3 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Pepperdine, the Waves finished with a field goal percentage of 58% and a total of 71 points vs. Santa Clara.
Can the Gaels Live Up to the Hype at Home?
With a record of 16-6, Saint Mary’s has been on a roll as of late, winning eight straight games. They have been especially strong at home, going 9-6 this season and 7-3 in their last 10 games.
On the other hand, Santa Clara comes into this game with a record of 9-9. Saint Mary’s has been the favorite in 19 of their 22 games this season, going 13-6 in those games.
As the favorite, Saint Mary’s has gone 8-11 against the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gaels have an ATS record of 6-4.
Over their last three games, the over/under record for Saint Mary’s is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 125 points. For the season, their over/under record is 11-10 and the average point total in their games is 129.8. Today’s over/under line of 136 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (132.2) and 14 of their contests have finished with more points than today’s line.
The Gaels’ offense wrapped up their last game with 70 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 72.5 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Gaels have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, ranking 164th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 343rd in terms of percentage and 223rd in three-pointers made.
This season, the Saint Mary’s defense has been impressive, holding the 2nd position in the country while permitting an average of 57.5 points per contest. Against Loyola Marymount in their most recent game, the Saint Mary’s defense gave up a total of 65 points while allowing Loyola Marymount to hit 42% of their shots.