Planning on watching today’s Broncos and Waves game? Catch the action at Firestone Fieldhouse in Malibu, CA, as the Waves hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. In this West Coast matchup, the Broncos are the betting favorite against the Waves. The over/under for the game is 148.5 points.


The Pick: Pepperdine Waves +3

This game will be played at Firestone Fieldhouse at 10:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Waves.
  • Not only will Pepperdine pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Broncos Offense Score Enough in Malibu?

Heading into today’s game, Santa Clara is favored by 3 points over Pepperdine. So far this season, the Broncos are 10-6 overall and 3-2 on the road. In their last game, Santa Clara defeated Loyola Marymount by a score of 68-57.

Over their last ten road games, the Broncos are 7-3 and have an average scoring margin of +2.6 points per game on the road this season. So far, Santa Clara has been favored in seven of their 16 games and have a record of 4-3 in those games.

As the favorite this season, Santa Clara has an ATS record of 1-6 and an overall ATS mark of 5-9. On the road, the Broncos are 3-2 vs. the spread this year and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 road games.

This season, the over/under record for Santa Clara is 6-8. So far, their games have averaged 144.5 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (149.9). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 134 points.

The Santa Clara offense is coming off a game in which they scored 68 points vs. Loyola Marymount. Overall their field goal percentage was 43.1% while connecting on 7 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Adama Bal, who is averaging 15.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Carlos Marshall Jr also maintains a PPG average of 14.3 heading into game.

At present, the Broncos’ defense is nationally ranked 147th, allowing 71.4 points per game. So far, the Santa Clara defense is giving up an average of 9.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 13.1 times per game (642nd).

Will Pepperdine Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?

Pepperdine comes into today’s game as the underdog and will be looking to pull off the upset at home. So far this season, the Waves have an overall record of 7-9 and are 5-3 at home.

In their last game, Pepperdine faced off against Gonzaga and lost by a score of 86-60. Over their last 10 games at home, the Waves are 7-3 and have won their last two games at home.

When looking at Pepperdine’s ATS record this season, they are currently 6-8. At home, their ATS mark is 5-3 and they have gone 2-0 ATS in their last three home games. However, their ATS record as the underdog is just 1-7 this year and they have gone 0-3 ATS as the underdog in their last three games.

Pepperdine’s over/under record for the season sits at 5-8-1. For the year, the average over/under line in their games is 150.9 and their matchups have averaged 143.6 points. So far this season, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 148.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-2.

In their most recent game, the Pepperdine offense put up just 60 points vs. the Gonzaga Bulldogs. Overall, they are now averaging 71.4 points per game which is 302nd in the country. Houston Mallette led the scoring for the Waves, contributing 15 points. Additionally, Michael Ajayi chipped in with 14 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Pepperdine defense is giving up an average of 71.2 points per contest. So far, the Pepperdine defense is giving up an average of 6.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12 times per game (556th).