San Jose State at Hawaii College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-05

Two schools that like to pass the ball, the San Jose State Spartans (+7) are set to take on their MWC nemesis Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7) at Hawaiian Airlines Field at Aloha Stadium. The matchup will begin at 11:00 p.m. ET and spectators can watch the action on FCBK.

San Jose State at Hawaii Betting Odds 11/9/2019

This MWC game’s spread is placed at 7 points in favor of Hawaii. The Spartans are currently getting +220 moneyline odds while the Rainbow Warriors are -300. The over/under is set at 77 points, and some solid live betting scenarios should exist during this game.

The game’s total has moved up after opening at 76.5. The original line has not changed.

The Spartans are 4-5 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against MWC opponents. The Rainbow Warriors are 5-4 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play. The Spartans are 5-3-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.1 units so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 4-5.

The Rainbow Warriors are up 3.8 units this season. They’re 4-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 6-3.

The Spartans look to bounce back after a 52-42 loss to Boise State last week. Josh Love completed only 29-of-53 passes for 438 yards, two scores and one interception. DeJon Packer (only 28 yards on 10 rushes, but two TDs) propelled the ground attack in the loss while Tre Walker (nine receptions, 193 yards) and Bailey Gaither (eight catches, 110 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties.

One week ago, Fresno State took care of this Hawaii team by a score of 41-38. The Rainbow Warriors defense let the Bulldogs rush for 290 yards on 40 attempts, including three rush TDs. Ronnie Rivers had a good showing for Fresno State, accounting for 103 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 19 attempts. As a group, the Rainbow Warriors collectively completed 26-of-51 passes for 346 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Cole McDonald went 21-for-42 for 275 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Chevan Cordeiro was five-of-nine for 71 yards. Miles Reed (75 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) and Fred Holly III (84 yards on seven carries, one TD) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Cedric Byrd II (eight receptions, 97 yards) and Jason-Matthew Sharsh (seven catches, 82 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

When looking at offensive play selection, each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. San Jose State has run the ball on 38.5 percent of its offensive possessions while Hawaii has an overall rush percentage of 37.4. The Spartans have rushed for 82 yards per game (including 56 per game versus Mountain West opponents) and have 13 scores via handoffs this year. The Rainbow Warriors are averaging 142 rushing yards per contest (160 in conference) and have 12 total rush TDs.

It seems like the Spartans might be the more disruptive team in the trenches, as their offensive line has allowed only 39 sacks while the D-line registered 11 sacks. The Rainbow Warriors, on the other hand, have given up 46 sacks and their defense has created only 30 sacks.

The Spartans have averaged 325 yards in the air overall (351 per game versus conference opposition) and have 19 passing TDs so far. The Rainbow Warriors have put up a ridiculous 354 pass yards per outing (354.2 in the MWC) and have 29 total pass scores.

Defensively, San Jose State should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 238 yards and pass for 207 yards per game. Hawaii has allowed 214.2 yards per game on the ground and 231.7 to opponents in the air. The Spartans are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.15 to opposing QBs, while the Rainbow Warriors have given up a 6.85 ANY/A.

Love is up to 2,479 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 183-of-315 attempts with 14 passing touchdowns and only four interceptions. Love’s got a 7.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 9.40 over the past two games.

Cole McDonald has recorded 2,559 yards, 24 TDs and 11 INTs for Hawaii. His ANY/A sits at 7.47 for the year and 6.27 across his past two games.

When these two teams met a year ago, Hawaii won by a field goal 44-41.

San Jose State Spartans at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Free Pick

SU Winner – Hawaii, ATS Winner – Hawaii, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes

Hawaii has lost 10 fumbles this season while San Jose State has lost four.

The San Jose State D has 15 sacks on the year while Hawaii has 11.

As a team, San Jose State has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.6 over its last two.

Hawaii has averaged 6.4 yards per carry over its last three games and 7.1 over its past two.

In its last three contests, Hawaii is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for San Jose State’s last game was set at 61. The over cashed in the team’s 52-42 defeat to Boise State.

Over its last three games, San Jose State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Hawaii’s last match was set at 66. The over cashed in the 41-38 defeat to Fresno State.

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