San Jose Sharks vs. Vegas Golden Knights Free Pick 4/14/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-04-14

Coming into the matchup with one win each in the series San Jose Sharks and the Vegas Golden Knights face off in the all-important Game 3 of the NHL postseason’s opening round. NBC Sports Network will air this Pacific Division matchup, which gets going at 10 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 14.

San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights Odds

San Jose (+130) is currently the underdog to Vegas (-150), and the oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 7 goals. The line for betting the total stands at -120 for the under and +100 for the over.

Though the team is 47-37 straight up (SU) this season, San Jose has actually lost 11.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year. 48 of its games have gone over the total, while 33 have gone under and just three have pushed. The Sharks are 21-20 SU as the away team in 2018-19.

Following a regular season where they converted 23.3 percent of all power-play chances (the sixth-strongest), the Sharks have connected on 15.4 percent of their extra-man advantages in the early stages of this postseason.

San Jose’s offensive attack attempted 33.1 shots per game in the regular season, leading to 3.5 goals per outing (ranked second overall in the NHL). In the playoffs, the club is managing an average of 35.0 shots on goal 4.0 goals per game.

Sporting a .895 save percentage and 24.2 saves per game, Martin Jones (38-26-5) has been the best option in goal for San Jose this year. If San Jose decides to rest him, however, the team might roll with Aaron Dell (11-15-4), who has a .886 save percentage and 3.15 goals against average this year.

Brent Burns and Tomas Hertl will both look to continue their strong seasons for the visiting Sharks. Burns (85 points) has tallied 17 goals and 68 assists, and has recorded multiple points 24 times. Hertl has 37 goals and 40 assists to his credit, and has notched at least one point in 50 games.

On the other side of the rink, Vegas is 44-40 straight up (SU) and has lost 14.0 units for moneyline bettors this year. 41 of its games have gone under the total, while 39 have gone over and just four have pushed. It’s 24-17 SU as the home team this season.

Vegas has converted on 17.6 percent of its power play opportunities this season, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 13th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 81.1 percent of all penalties.

Vegas players have been penalized only 3.3 times per game this season, and 4.5 per game over their past ten match ups. The team has had to kill penalties a whopping 14.4 minutes per game over their last five outings.

Marc-Andre Fleury (26.3 saves per game) has been the top option in goal for Vegas. Fleury has 36 wins, 27 losses, and five overtime losses and has recorded a .912 save percentage and 2.54 goals against average this season.

The Knights offense will be led by Mark Stone (36 goals, 40 assists).

San Jose Sharks vs. Vegas Golden Knights Betting Predictions

Prediction: SU Winner – Golden Knights, O/U – Under


Betting Notes

For both of these teams, the game went over the total in three of their past five outings.

This game features two clubs that put the puck on goal a lot. San Jose has attempted the league’s sixth-most shots on goal (33.1) while Vegas’s attempted the second-most (34.1).

The Sharks are 21-17 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 33-22 when they’re in the penalty box for fewer than 10 total minutes.

Vegas skaters have managed 17.4 takeaways per game over its last five home games, an improvement over its season average of 10.9 takeaways per game (ranked 1st overall).

San Jose is ranked fifth overall this season with 9.1 takeaways per game. That figure has trended upward, as it’s averaged 11.2 takeaways over its last 10 games and 11.8 takeaways over its last five.

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