San Jose Sharks vs. St. Louis Blues Free Pick 5/21/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-21

The San Jose Sharks look to avoid elimination at the Enterprise Center in sixth game of the NHL’s Western Conference Finals. NBC Sports Network will broadcast the game, which gets going at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May 21.

San Jose Sharks vs. St. Louis Blues Odds

San Jose (+150) is currently the underdog to St. Louis (-170), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 6 goals (-120 for the under, +100 for the over).

St. Louis is 56-44 straight up (SU) and has netted 3.9 units for moneyline bettors this year. That win percentage, ranked first in the Central Division so far this season, hasn’t moved much from what the team managed during the 2017-18 season (44-38). 51 of the team’s 100 matches have gone under the total, while 42 have gone over and just seven have pushed. This season, the team’s 28-22 SU at home.

The Blues’ offensive skaters attempted 31.7 shots per game in the regular season, resulting in 3.0 goals per outing (ranked 14th overall in the NHL). In the postseason, the club is attempting an average of 31.6 shots on goal 2.9 goals per game.

Following a regular season where they scored on 20.2 percent of all power-play opportunities (the eighth-best), the Blues have connected on 16.7 percent of their extra-man advantages in the postseason. Their penalty kill has gone from 81.0 percent in the regular season to 77.5 percent in the playoffs.

Averaging 24.3 saves per game with a .921 save percentage, Jordan Binnington (35-15-3) has been the most dependable goalkeeper for St. Louis this season. If St. Louis decides to give him a breather, however, head coach Craig Berube might roll with Jake Allen (19-27-27 record, .905 save percentage, 2.83 goals against average).

San Jose has lost 10.8 units for moneyline bettors thus far and is currently 56-45 straight up (SU). Through 101 regular season contests, 57 of its games have gone over the total, while 40 have gone under the total and just four have pushed. The Sharks are 24-25 SU as the road team this season.

The Sharks have converted on 22.6 percent of their power play chances this season, a figure that places it in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 15th overall and it’s successfully defended 81.0 percent of all opponent power plays.

Martin Jones (.898 save percentage and 2.94 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for San Jose. Jones is averaging 24.9 saves per game and has 47 wins, 34 losses, and six overtime losses to his credit.

San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues Free Picks

Prediction: SU Winner – Blues, O/U – Under


Betting Notes

The extra-man advantage may be critical in the outcome of this game. The Sharks are 25-18 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 41-24 in games where they serve fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Blues are 29-23 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 42-30 when total penalty minutes are in the single digits.

St. Louis is 3-3 in games decided by a shootout this season while San Jose is 0-3 in shootouts.

For both of these clubs, the over has hit in three of their last five outings.

San Jose has averaged 6.8 giveaways over its last five home games, an improvement from its season average of 9.9 giveaways per game (ranked 16th).

One of the top teams when it comes to stickhandling and crisp passes, St. Louis is ranked 3rd this season with just 7.9 giveaways per game. That figure has trended higher recently, as the team’s averaged 11.7 giveaways over its last 10 games and 10.8 giveaways over its last five.

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