Last Updated: 2019-05-17
Coming into tonight’s matchup with four wins apiece in the series San Jose Sharks and the St. Louis Blues battle in the crucial fourth game of the NHL’s Western Conference Finals. NBC Sports Network will showcase the game, which gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, May 17.
San Jose Sharks vs. St. Louis Blues Odds
Playing the role of favorites will be the Blues (-135), whereas the Sharks are offering moneyline odds of +115,, and the Over/Under (O/U) is placed at 6 goals (-115 for the over, -105 for the under).
Though the team is 56-43 straight up (SU) this season, San Jose has actually lost 8.4 units for moneyline bettors this year. 57 of its matches have gone over the total, while 38 have gone under and just four have pushed. This 2018-19 Sharks team is 24-24 SU on the road.
After accounting for the sixth-best power-play unit in the regular season (scoring on 22.7 percent of all opportunities), the Sharks have connected on 18.3 percent of their postseason power play chances. Their penalty kill has gone from 80.9 percent in the regular season to 81.4 percent in the playoffs.
The Sharks’ offensive skaters attempted 32.7 shots per game in the regular season, leading to 3.5 goals per contest (ranked second overall in the NHL). In the playoffs, the club is maintaining an average of 31.0 shots on goal ( 3.3 goals per game).
With a .898 save percentage and 24.8 saves per game, Martin Jones (47-32-6) has been the best option in goal for San Jose this season. If San Jose decides to rest him, however, head coach Peter Deboer may turn to Aaron Dell (11-16-4 record, .884 save percentage, 3.19 goals against average).
On the other side of the ice, St. Louis is 54-44 straight up (SU) and has earned 1.6 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 98 regular season matches, 49 of its games have gone under the total, while 42 have gone over and just seven have pushed. It’s 27-22 SU as the home team this year.
The Blues have converted on 20.4 percent of their power play chances this season, a figure that’s good enough for eighth-best in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked ninth overall, and it’s successfully killed off 81.0 percent of all penalties.
Jordan Binnington (24.3 saves per game) has been the top choice in goal for the Blues. Binnington has 33 wins, 15 losses, and three OT losses to his name and has recorded a solid 2.16 goals against average and a .919 save percentage this season.
San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues Betting Predictions
NHL Prediction: SU Winner – Blues, O/U – Over
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Power plays and penalty kills may have a critical role in the outcome of this game. The Sharks are 25-18 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 41-24 when they’re in the box for fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Blues are 27-23 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 40-30 when total penalty minutes are in the single digits.
St. Louis is 3-3 in games decided by a shootout this season while San Jose is 0-3 in shootouts.
For both of these teams, the over has hit in three of their past five matchups.
San Jose is ranked 16th this season with 9.8 giveaways per game. That figure’s trended down, however, as it’s averaged 7.9 giveaways over its last 10 games and 8.4 giveaways over its last five.
One of the top teams when it comes to possession and valuing the puck, St. Louis is ranked 3rd this season with just 7.8 giveaways per game. That figure has regressed, as the team’s averaged 10.8 giveaways over its last 10 games and 11.6 giveaways over its last five.