San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick 07/12/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-07-12

Kevin Pillar and the surging San Francisco Giants are paying a visit to Miller Park to play the Milwaukee Brewers. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast this NL showdown and the action gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing San Francisco (+160) as the dog to Milwaukee (-170). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over 10 runs and -105 for under 10. There’s a runline of Giants +1.5 (-135) and Brewers -1.5 (+115) for this matchup.

The Giants have gone 41-48 SU this year and are 45-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 9.6 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 47-44 SU and 41-50 ATS. They’ve lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 13.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Milwaukee games have a 40-48-3 over/under record so far in 2019. San Francisco has been a decent over bet with a total record of 47-37-5.

Right-hander Shaun Anderson will get the nod for San Francisco. Anderson is 3-2 with a 4.23 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Brewers will be sending righty Chase Anderson (4-2, 4.32 ERA) to the mound. Anderson has 67 punchouts and 23 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Anderson is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA in one start against San Francisco this year.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.82, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .204/.277/.389 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas. Yelich is slashing .329/.433/.707 with 31 home runs, 67 RBIs, 66 runs and 19 steals, while Moustakas has produced a line of .263/.334/.551 with 25 homers, 53 RBIs and 54 runs.

In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.99 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.22 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.90, along with a K-per-9 of 8.99.

The Giants offense has slashed .230/.299/.385 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

San Francisco’s offensive production has been powered by Kevin Pillar and Joe Panik. Pillar is slashing .256/.286/.436 with 12 home runs, 47 RBIs, 46 runs and eight steals, while Panik (.228/.305/.314) has produced three homers, 22 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 3.5 units and are 31-30 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 1.6 units and are 30-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, as opposed to 32 which went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER


Betting Notes

The over has cashed in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.

The Giants have a total OPS of .684 this season and an OPS of .687 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .772 overall and .773 against righties.

The Giants have won six of their last seven games SU while the Brewers have lost five of their last six.

San Francisco has posted 25.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.4 over its last five.

Each team has hit 16 home runs over its last 10 games.

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