Betting on today’s Dons and Broncos game? Catch the action at Leavey Center in Santa Clara, CA, as the Broncos hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. San Francisco come into this West Coast conference matchup as the -2.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 147 points.


The Pick: Santa Clara Broncos +2.5

This game will be played at Leavey Center at 7:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Broncos.
  • Not only will Santa Clara pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Dons Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

San Francisco comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 22 of their 30 games this season. Overall, they have a record of 21-1 when favored, and their average scoring margin on the road is +4.7 compared to +14.4 at home.

Recently, the Dons have gone 6-4 on the road, and they are looking to bounce back from a loss to Gonzaga. So far, they have gone 22-8 on the season, and their record in West Coast Conference games is 11-4.

San Francisco has an ATS record of 17-12 this season and they have gone 13-9 vs the spread when favored. On the road, the Dons are 7-4 vs the spread this year and they have gone 6-4 ATS in their last 10 road games. In their last 3 games as the favorite, San Francisco has a 2-1 ATS mark.

On the season, the over/under record in San Francisco games is 15-13-1 and today’s line of 147 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.3). Over their last five games, the average scoring total is 145 points and their OU record during that stretch is 2-2-1.

Against Gonzaga, the San Francisco had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 78.7 points per game. They scored 68 points and posted a field goal percentage of 40.3% in the game. Jonathan Mogbo is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.8 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Marcus Williams brings a PPG average of 14 into the game.

So far this season, the San Francisco defense has been performing well, ranking 38th in the country at 66.1 points allowed per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. Santa Clara. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.5%.

Do the Broncos Stand a Chance at Home?

As the Santa Clara Broncos get set to take on the San Francisco Dons, they will be looking to improve their record to 11-6 at home. So far this season, they have gone 10-6 at home, and they are coming off of a 94-81 loss to Gonzaga. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 6-4.

So far this season, the Broncos have gone 18-12 overall, and they have gone 9-5 in West Coast Conference play. As the underdog, they have gone 5-7, and their average scoring margin at home is +4.1.

As the underdog, Santa Clara has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 8-4. Their overall ATS mark is 15-12. At home, the Broncos are just 6-10 vs. the spread this year, but they have gone 3-0 ATS as the underdog in their last three games.

On the season, the over/under record for Santa Clara games is 11-15-1, and today’s line of 147 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (149.9). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and in their last five games, the OU record is 1-4.

In their recent matchup, the Santa Clara offense ended with 81 points against Gonzaga. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.9% and made 11 threes. Offensively, the Broncos have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 131st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 111st in percentage and 83rd in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Santa Clara defense is giving up an average of 72.1 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.8 threes per game vs. San Francisco. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.7%.