Looking to win big? The Toreros and Gaels face off at 10:00 ET on ESPNU. The Gaels are hosting the game at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA. The over/under for this game is set at 137.5 points, and Saint Mary’s is favored by -22 vs. San Diego in a West Coast conference matchup.

SAN DIEGO TOREROS VS SAINT MARY’S GAELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Toreros +22

This game will be played at University Credit Union Pavilion at 10:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.

WHY BET THE SAN DIEGO TOREROS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Gaels.
  • Even though we have Saint Mary’s winning straight-up, we like San Diego at +22.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will the Toreros Win in Moraga?

San Diego enters this game as a 22-point underdog, and they have been the underdog in 19 of their 28 games this season. Their record as the underdog is 8-11, compared to 6-2 when they are favored.

On the road, the Toreros have gone 4-5 this season, and they have won their last two games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -8.7, and their record over their last 10 road games is 4-6.

As the underdog this season, San Diego has gone 10-9 vs. the spread. On the road, the Toreros have an ATS mark of 5-4 and they’ve gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, San Diego has posted an ATS record of 6-4.

San Diego’s over/under record this season is 16-11, and today’s line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (149.6). So far, 19 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points, and their OU record in their last 10 games is 6-4.

The San Diego offense is coming off a game where they scored 69 points against Santa Clara. They posted a field goal percentage of 39.3% and connected on 5 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Wayne McKinney II, who holds an average of 14.6 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Deuce Turner is averaging 15.2 points per game this season.

Currently, the Toreros’ defense holds the 278th rank in the nation, allowing 76.5 points per game. San Diego’s three-point defense is currently 145th in the country at 7.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 44.6% of their shots vs. San Diego.

Does Saint Mary’s Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

At home this season, Saint Mary’s has gone 12-6, and they have won their last seven games at home. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +13.4, and their average scoring margin on the road is +14.3. In their last game, they beat San Francisco 70-66, and their record this season is 22-6.

So far, Saint Mary’s has gone 13-0 in West Coast Conference games, and they have won their last 14 games. They have been the favorite in 24 of their 28 games, and their record as the favorite is 18-6. Today, they are favored by 22 points, and the over/under for the game is 137.5 points.

As the favorite this season, Saint Mary’s has gone 11-13 against the spread. Their home ATS mark is 8-10. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gaels have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. At home this year, they are 6-4 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record in Saint Mary’s games is 14-13. Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (132.9). So far, 20 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

The Saint Mary’s offense is coming off a game where they scored 70 points against San Francisco. They posted a field goal percentage of 45.8% and connected on 4 threes. The team’s top scorer is Aidan Mahaney, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 13.9, while Augustas Marciulionis also carries a PPG average of 12.2 into the game.

At this time, the Gaels’ defense is positioned 2nd in the country, permitting 58.0 points per game. In their previous game vs. San Francisco, the Dons finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 66 points vs. Saint Mary’s.