Planning on watching today’s Aztecs and Aggies game? Catch the action at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV, as the Aggies hosts this showdown at 9:30 ET on CBSS. In this Mountain West matchup, San Diego State is favored by -3.5 vs. Utah State. The over/under for the game is 137.5 points.

SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS VS UTAH STATE AGGIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Utah State Aggies +3.5

This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center at 9:30 ET on Friday, March 15th.

WHY BET THE UTAH STATE AGGIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Aggies.
  • Not only will Utah State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can San Diego State Lock in a Road Win?

San Diego State has been a much better team at home this season, as they are 14-0 compared to 6-8 on the road. They are also 18-3 when favored, which they are for this game with a point spread of -3.5.

Over their last 10 games, the Aztecs are just 4-6 on the road, and they are coming off a 62-58 loss to UNLV. So far this season, they have gone 22-9, including an 11-6 record in Mountain West Conference games.

San Diego State has an ATS record of 12-16 this season. On the road, they are 4-10 vs. the spread. As the favorite, the Aztecs are 10-11 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, San Diego State has gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is slightly lower than the average over/under line in San Diego State’s games this season (141.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 139 points.

Compared to their season average of 74.7 points per game, San Diego State struggled in their previous game. Against UNLV, the Aztecs scored 58 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 28.1%. The top scorer for the Aztecs was Elijah Saunders with 14 points, while Jaedon LeDee also chipped in with 12 points.

At present, the Aztecs’ defense is nationally ranked 37th, allowing 66.4 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, San Diego State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.9% this season.

Will Utah State Find a Way to Win at Home?

Utah State has been dominant at home this season, going 14-1, and they have won their last four games at home. Overall, they have won four straight games, and their record this season is 26-5. They have been the underdog in four games this season, going 1-3.

For the season, Utah State has a scoring margin of +12.0 points per game at home, compared to +5.2 on the road. Their record in Mountain West games is 13-3, and they have gone 13-2 in non-conference action. In their most recent game, they defeated New Mexico by a score of 87-85.

As the underdog, Utah State has gone just 1-3 against the spread this season. At home, their ATS record is 9-6 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are just 2-8 vs. the spread. Their ATS mark for the year is 15-11-1 and they are 6-5-1 vs. the spread on the road.

Utah State’s over/under record for the season is 15-12 and their games have averaged 148.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (145.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 164 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 5-5.

In their latest game, Utah State’s offense looked good, scoring 87 points against New Mexico. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 53.6% and made 21/28 free throws. Offensively, the Aggies hold a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, placing them 28th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 242nd in terms of percentage and 288th in three-pointers made.

The Aggies’ defense is presently ranked 105th nationally, allowing an average of 69.8 points per contest. In their previous game vs. New Mexico, the Lobos finished with a field goal percentage of 53% and a total of 85 points vs. Utah State.