Planning on watching today’s Aztecs and Lobos game? Catch the action at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM, as the Lobos hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on CBS. This Mountain West conference matchup has an over/under of 150 points, and the Lobos are favored to win at home vs. the Aztecs.

SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS VS NEW MEXICO LOBOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Mexico Lobos -3.5

This game will be played at The Pit at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.

WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO LOBOS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Lobos.
  • Not only will New Mexico pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 150 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Do the Aztecs Stand a Chance on the Road?

San Diego State enters today’s game against New Mexico as the underdog, with the Aztecs getting 3.5 points. They have been the underdog three times this season, going 2-1 in those games.

Overall, San Diego State is 14-2 this season, including a 3-0 record in Mountain West play. They have won six straight games, including their most recent contest against San Jose State, 81-78.

As the underdog this season, San Diego State has an ATS record of 2-1 and an overall ATS mark of 6-8. On the road, the Aztecs are 2-4 vs. the spread and they have gone 1-2 in their last three road games ATS.

San Diego State games have an over/under record of 8-6 this season, and today’s line of 150 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (140.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points.

In their recent matchup, the San Diego State offense ended with 81 points against San Jose State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.4% and made 6 threes. The top scorer for the Aztecs was Jaedon LeDee with 31 points, while Lamont Butler also added 16 to the scoreboard.

So far, the Aztecs’ defense is ranked 63rd in the country at 66.0 points per contest. San Diego State’s three-point defense is currently 72nd in the country at 6.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.0% of their shots vs. San Diego State.

Will the Lobos Come Through as Home Favorites?

Coming into tonight’s game, New Mexico has been on fire at home, winning all eight games so far this season. Over their last ten games at home, the Lobos have gone 9-1. For the year, their average scoring margin at home is +20.5 points per game.

Overall, New Mexico is 13-3, including a 12-1 non-conference record. So far, they have been favored in 13 of their 16 games, going 12-1 in those contests.

As the favorite, New Mexico has an ATS record of 10-3 this season and they have gone 7-1 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lobos have an ATS mark of 8-2.

This season, the over/under record for New Mexico is 6-9 and their games have averaged 151.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 150 is lower than the average OU line in their games (153.8). So far, 12 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points.

Against UNLV, the New Mexico had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 82.3 points per game. They scored 73 points and posted a field goal percentage of 49.1% in the game. The team’s top scorer is Donovan Dent, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.7, while JT Toppin also carries a PPG average of 12.5 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the New Mexico defense is giving up an average of 68.2 points per contest. In their most recent game, the New Mexico defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as UNLV knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 83 points.