Betting on today’s Aztecs and Falcons game? Catch the action at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, CO, as the Falcons hosts this showdown at 10:30 ET on FS1. In this Mountain West matchup, San Diego State is favored by -11 vs. Air Force. The over/under for the game is 133.5 points.
SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS VS AIR FORCE FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Air Force Falcons +11
This game will be played at Clune Arena at 10:30 ET on Tuesday, February 6th.
WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Falcons.
- Not only will Air Force pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +11.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 133.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Will the Aztecs Win in Colorado Springs?
San Diego State has been a much better team at home this season, going 11-0 compared to 4-5 on the road. The Aztecs have also won 11 straight games at home, and they are 13-2 as the favorite this season.
Overall, San Diego State is 17-5, including a 6-3 record in Mountain West Conference games. They most recently beat Utah State 81-67, and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games.
San Diego State has struggled against the spread this season, going 8-12 overall. On the road, their ATS mark is just 2-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aztecs are just 5-5 vs. the spread.
San Diego State’s over/under record for the season is 12-8 and today’s over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (141.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 6-4.
In their most recent game, the Aztecs’ offense tallied 81 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 76.2 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Jaedon LeDee, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 20.3, while Reese Waters also carries a PPG average of 11.7 into the game.
At present, the Aztecs’ defense is nationally ranked 66th, allowing 67.3 points per game. Against Utah State in their most recent game, the San Diego State defense gave up a total of 67 points while allowing Utah State to hit 47% of their shots.
Will the Falcons Come Through as Home Underdogs?
After losing to Boise State by a score of 94-56, Air Force’s record now stands at 8-13. The Falcons have lost three straight games and are just 1-8 in Mountain West Conference play. At home this season, Air Force is 4-8, including a current losing streak of seven games.
As the underdog, the Falcons have gone 2-8 this season. So far, they have been the underdog in 10 of their 21 games. Their average scoring margin at home is -3.4 points per game, and their record in their last 10 home games is 3-7.
As the underdog, Air Force has gone 4-6 vs. the spread this season and they are 7-14 ATS overall. At home, the Falcons are just 2-10 vs. the spread and they have gone 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Air Force is 4-6 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Air Force games is 15-6. Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (134.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points and their OU record is 3-0.
Compared to their season average of 68.3 points per game, Air Force struggled in their previous game. Against Boise State, the Falcons scored 56 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 34.6%. The team’s top scorer is Ethan Taylor, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.8, while Beau Becker also carries a PPG average of 15.1 into the game.
Air Force’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.8 points per game. In today’s game vs. San Diego State, the Air Force defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Air Force made 19 free-throws vs. the Falcons.