The Blue Jays (53-43, 26-20 home) host the Padres (46-50, 21-27 away) in game three of this interleague series. Getting the start for the Blue Jays is Chris Bassitt while the Padres are turning to Blake Snell. Read on to get my best bet for this Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres matchup.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres -121

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 1:07 ET on Thursday, July 20th.

WHY BET THE SAN DIEGO PADRES:

  • In their last ten games, the Padres have a record of 6-4.
  • The Blue Jays have been struggling of late, having lost each of their last two straight games.
  • Opponents are hitting a healthy .323 against Chris Bassitt in his last three starts.

SAN DIEGO PADRES ON A RUNLINE WIN STREAK

Winners of two straight games, the Padres are in 4th place in the NL West. So far, they have a series win percentage of 42% (11-15-4). San Diego has gone 21-27 on the road this season compared to 25-23 at home.

Entering the season with a 6-7 record, Blake Snell is making his 20th appearance of the year. His ERA stands at 2.71, with opposing batters hitting .194 against him. On the road, Snell is 1-3 with a 2.79 ERA, while he has posted a 5-4 record at home on an ERA of 3.43. Teams have been held to a .320 slugging percentage against him this season.

Blake Snell’s last start against the Phillies resulted in a no-decision for the Padres ace. Despite giving up three hits over five innings, Snell kept Philadelphia off the board. Unfortunately, San Diego was unable to capitalize on his strong performance and fell 6-4 in the end.

The Padres have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 17 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 2nd best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 8th in home runs and 14th in slugging percentage. Overall, San Diego is averaging 4.5 runs per game (14th).

Trent Grisham has been a force for the Padres’ offense over their last five games, leading the team with two home runs. His total for the season stands at 10, and his batting average is .218.

WILL THE TORONTO BLUE JAYS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

This season, the Blue Jays have played a total of 30 series and are above .500 at 19-11. On the road, Toronto is 27-23 and 26-20 at home. Their overall record of 53-43 has the Blue Jays sitting 3rd in the AL East.

Chris Bassitt takes the mound for Toronto with a 9-5 record in 2023. He has made 20 appearances, boasting an ERA of 4.12 and a K/9 of 8.33. His FIP is 4.66 and his OBP is .303.

Chris Bassitt earned the victory in his most recent start, surrendering two earned runs and seven hits in six innings against the Diamondbacks. The Blue Jays emerged victorious with a 5-2 scoreline.

Across their last ten games, the Blue Jays’ offense is 9th in batting average, leading to an average of 4.7 runs per contest in that span. Overall, they are the 16th ranked scoring offense and posted a season-long OPS of .743 on 105 (17th).

The Blue Jays’ offense has been bolstered by Bo Bichette this season. The young shortstop has posted a .321 batting average, while driving in 53 runs and launching 16 home runs.