San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Betting Pick 06/11/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-11

Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres will head west to Oracle Park to play their NL West foe San Francisco Giants. Fox Sports San Diego will be televising the matchup and the game will get going at 9:45 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants Odds

San Diego (getting -165) is the favorite against San Francisco (+155) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). There’s a runline of Padres -1.5 (-115) and Giants +1.5 (-105) for this matchup.

The Giants are just 26-38 straight up (SU) and 27-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.9 units for moneyline bettors and 20.1 units ATS. The Padres have gone 33-33 SU this year and are 28-38 ATS. They’re down 2.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 15.6 units ATS.

Neither side has been an obvious over/under play this season. San Francisco games have had an over/under record of 32-30-2 so far in 2019. The Padres have an over/under record of 31-30-5.

Right-hander Chris Paddack is getting the start for the visiting Padres. Paddack is 4-4 with a 2.97 ERA and 66 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against San Francisco this year.

The Giants are putting the ball in the hands of righty Tyler Beede (0-2, 8.15 ERA), who’s got 19 strikeouts and 15 walks as well as a 2.21 WHIP. Beede has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 12.27 ERA and six strikeouts across three and 2-third innings).

San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.18, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 3.85 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 28 games against divisional opponents, Giants starters have an ERA of 4.17 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.72.

San Francisco’s offense has produced 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 1.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .178/.237/.255 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Steven Duggar and second baseman Joe Panik have led the Giants’ offense this year. Duggar is slashing .236/.280/.342 with three home runs, 26 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Panik’s line sits at .241/.315/.340 with three homers, 19 RBIs and 22 runs.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.04 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.18 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.46, along with a K/9 of 9.97.

Padres hitters have slashed .232/.296/.410 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .281/.328/.446 with 10 home runs, 36 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Machado (.242/.327/.403) is up to 10 homers, 33 RBIs and 30 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 2.3 units and are 21-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have lost 3.8 units and are 18-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 20 that went under the total.

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER


Betting Notes

The over has hit in three of San Francisco’s last seven games.

The Padres have an OPS of .706 this season and an OPS of .700 against right-handed pitchers. The Giants’ OPS stands at .653 overall and .664 versus righties.

The Giants have dropped four of their last five games SU.

San Francisco has posted 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 12.6 over its last five.

The Padres have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit eight over their last 10.

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