The only Wild Card series of this season’s playoffs in the MLB which will be decided in three games will be played in New York on Sunday, October 9, and here you can get the best Padres vs. Mets betting pick and odds.
San Diego and New York will play the third of a best-of-three NLWC series at Citi Field, and the Mets are -130 moneyline favorites on BetDSI Sportsbook, while the total is set at 6.5 runs. These NL rivals have met eight times this season, including this playoff series, and the Padres lead 5-3.
Padres experienced a meltdown in the seventh in a loss
The San Diego Padres opened the NLWC series against the New York Mets with a 7-1 win on the road but couldn’t seal the deal in Game 2 on Saturday, so will be forced to play another game in order to reach the NLDS. San Diego was tied with New York until the 5th inning when the hosts took a 3-2 and later added four more runs, and all the Padres could do is to soften a defeat with a run in the 9th for a 7-3 loss.
Blake Snell lasted only 3.2 innings as he allowed two runs on four hits with five strikeouts and even six walks in a no-decision. Nick Martinez took a loss, while Adrian Morejon couldn’t even record a single out and surrendered four runs with two walks in the 7th inning. On offense, Trent Grisham hit a solo homer and became the third Padre in postseason history with home runs in back-to-back games.
Joe Musgrove is starting for the Padres in this decisive NLWC game against the Mets on Sunday. The 29-year-old right-hander started 30 games this year and has a rock-solid 2.93 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 184/42 K/BB ratio over 181.0 innings.
Mets saved the season for now thanks to their stars
The New York Mets managed to force Game 3 of the NLWC series at home against the San Diego Padres with a 7-3 victory. It started great for the hosts in Game 2 following a disappointing outing in the opener in which they allowed seven runs and scored just one.
Francisco Lindor blasted a solo home run in the first inning on Saturday; Pete Alonso also contributed with a solo homer, while Jeff McNeil was the only player in the game with a multi-RBI display as he registered two. Jacob deGrom took a win after pitching for 6.0 strong innings and surrendering two runs on five hits with eight strikeouts and two walks. Seth Lugo got the save.
Chris Bassitt was named a starter for Game 3 of this NLWC series against the Padres on Sunday. The 33-year-old right-hander had 30 starts this year and registered a respectable 3.42 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 167/49 K/BB ratio across 181.2 innings of work.
- 6-2 in the last eight road games
- 4-1 in the last five road games vs. a right-handed starter
- 6-2 in the last eight games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
- 2-5 in the last seven games following a win
- 1-4 in the last five playoff games
- 1-5 in the last six after scoring five runs or more in their previous game
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Pick
Both Musgrove and Bassitt were far from impressive in H2H duels this season, but Bassitt was a bigger disappointment. He started two games against the Padres and lost both with a bloated 7.84 ERA in 10.1 innings. In fact, Bassitt had a higher ERA only against one team this year – the Cubs. Musgrove, on the other hand, lost his lone start against the Mets with a 6.75 ERA, but he pitched better than Bassitt overall during the season and I am giving him a slight advantage here. It’s going to be a very tight affair, possibly a one-run game, but I am going with the visitors.
Pick: Take the Padres to win (+120)
Both Game 1 and Game 2 went Over and I think that trend is going to continue on Sunday in Game 3. Considering Musgrove and Bassitt’s numbers against these respective rivals, I expect to see at least seven runs here. There are several highly-talented batters on each side and these starters already struggled against them in the regular season, especially Bassitt. Over is 5-0 in the Padres’ last five overall; Over is 4-0 in San Diego’s previous four road games, while Over is 6-0 in the Mets’ last six games following a win.
Pick: Go Over 6.5 runs (-110)