Heading into game two of this NL West matchup, the Dodgers (87-56, 47-25 home) will send Lance Lynn to the mound against the Padres (68-77, 29-41 away) and Michael Wacha. Check out my pick for today’s San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers game in Los Angeles.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -160

This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 10:10 ET on Tuesday, September 12th.

WHY BET THE LOS ANGELES DODGERS:

  • The Dodgers are 3-2 straight-up in their five most recent games as the favorite.
  • So far, the Dodgers are 8-3 against the Padres this season.
  • The Padres are just 1-2 in Michael Wacha’s last five starts.

SAN DIEGO PADRES LOOKING FOR UPSET AS ROAD UNDERDOGS

Leading up to today’s game, the Padres are 4th in the NL West on a record of 68-77. Overall, they have played in 46 different series, going 18-23-5. When playing above .500 teams, the Padres are 68-77, and currently hold win percentages of 52.0% at home and 41.4% on the road.

Michael Wacha has been a force to be reckoned with in 2023, boasting an 11-3 record and 2.99 ERA across his 20 outings. His WHIP stands at 1.17, with an OBP allowed of .287, and he has struck out 102 batters while walking 38 – a remarkable strikeout to walk ratio. However, it is worth noting that he has given up a home run in each of his last four appearances.

San Diego dropped the last matchup in which Michael Wacha was on the mound, succumbing to Philadelphia 5-1. The right-hander pitched four frames, giving up three earned runs off seven hits.

For the season, the Padres’ offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game. Over their last ten games they have swung the bats well, sitting 4th in the league in scoring, with a total of 62 runs. Overall, San Diego’s team batting average is .241, putting them 15th in the MLB.

Juan Soto has been a major contributor to the Padres’ offensive success in 2023, leading the team with 29 home runs and 89 RBIs. His slugging percentage of .488 is indicative of his power-hitting ability.

WILL THE LOS ANGELES DODGERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

On an overall record of 87-56, the Dodgers are 1st in the NL West. On the road, Los Angeles has put together a record of 40-31 while going 47-25 at home. Against teams with below .500 records, the club has gone 44-44. Overall, the Dodgers have played in 46 series, going 29-15-2.

Today, Los Angeles starter Lance Lynn will attempt to limit the number of home-runs he has allowed in his last three outings. Currently, Lynn holds a 10-11 record and an ERA of 6.09. He has struck out 172 batters this season, averaging 9.7 K/9 innings pitched, while also issuing an average of 3.16 walks per 9 innings.

The Los Angeles Angels were unable to come away with a win in Lance Lynn’s most recent start, falling to the Miami Marlins 11-4. The right-hander lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up eight earned runs on seven hits.

The Dodgers have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 12 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 10th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 2nd in home runs and 2nd in slugging percentage. Overall, Los Angeles is averaging 5.7 runs per game (2nd).

The Dodgers have been on a roll lately, and Freddie Freeman has been at the forefront of their offensive success. Over the past five games, Freeman has led the team in hits, batting an impressive .380. For the season, he is hitting .335 and has driven in 91 runs.