San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick 09/28/19

The San Diego Padres will take on their divisional foe Arizona Diamondbacks. The matchup will get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona to catch the action.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Vegas has listed San Diego (+145) as the underdog to Arizona (-155). The game’s total is sitting at 9 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -115 and the under for -105. The game’s current runline odds sit at -150 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and +130 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 83-77 straight up (SU) and 89-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.8 units ATS. The Padres have gone 70-90 SU this year and are 73-86 ATS. They’re down 22.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 22.1 units ATS.

Neither team has positioned itself as an obvious over/under bet this season. Arizona games have had an over/under record of 73-74-12 in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 75-75-9.

The right-handed Garrett Richards is the probable starter for the visiting Padres. Richards (0-1, 11.81 ERA) has recorded seven strikeouts in 5.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 21.60 ERA against Arizona this year.

The Diamondbacks will send lefty Robbie Ray (12-8, 4.28 ERA) to the hill. Ray has 225 strikeouts and 81 walks to his credit, along with a 1.32 WHIP. Ray is 0-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 5.06 ERA over two starts against San Diego this year.

San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.68 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.86 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.59, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

Padres hitters have slashed .237/.309/.409 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is hitting .267/.313/.424 with 21 home runs, 98 RBIs and 71 runs scored. Machado (.253/.332/.455) is up to 31 homers, 83 RBIs and 80 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.23, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 74 divisional games, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 4.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.33.

Arizona’s offense has produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .228/.328/.381 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar have led the charge for the Diamondbacks’ batters this year. Marte is hitting .329/.389/.592 with 32 home runs, 92 RBIs and 97 runs scored, and Escobar’s line sits at .269/.321/.514 with 35 homers, 118 RBIs and 94 runs.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER