In this NL West matchup, the Diamondbacks (57-59, 28-31 home) play host to the Padres (56-60, 26-32 away) at Chase Field. Taking the mound for the Diamondbacks is Zac Gallen, while the Padres will go with Rich Hill. Check out my pick for two of this Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres matchup.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -146
This game will be played at Chase Field at 8:10 ET on Saturday, August 12th.
WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:
- The Padres have gone just 4-6 in their last ten games.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Padres are just 3-7 straight-up.
- Opponents are hitting a healthy .301 against Rich Hill in his last four starts.
SAN DIEGO PADRES HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE NL WEST
116 games into the season, the Padres have a record of 56-60, putting them 4th in the NL West. This mark includes an overall series 14-18-4. At home, they are 30-28 compared to 26-32 on the road.
Rich Hill is making his 24th start of the 2023 season, carrying a record of 7-11. His ERA stands at 5.09, with opponents batting .262 against him. Away from home, Hill is 3-5 with a 4.94 ERA, while he’s 4-6 at home on an ERA of 5.93. Teams have slugged .447 against him this season.
Rich Hill will attempt to rebound from a brief performance against the Dodgers. In San Diego’s 8-2 defeat, he allowed six runs in three frames.
Having gone deep 16 times in their last ten games, the Padres are 6th in that span. At 4.6 runs per game, San Diego is 14th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .240 while hitting a total of 150 home runs (10th).
Xander Bogaerts has been a consistent presence in the San Diego lineup this season, boasting a .271 batting average and slugging .402. Over the team’s last ten games, he has been particularly impressive, leading the Padres in hits with a .360 average.
WILL THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
For the season, the Diamondbacks are 57-59 overall, including going 29-28 on the road and 28-31 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Arizona is above .500 at 19-15-3. In the NL West, the Diamondbacks are currently 3rd.
Heading into today’s matchup, Arizona Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen has gone six innings or more in four consecutive outings. His ERA is 3.37 and he holds an 11-5 record on the season. Gallen has tallied 157 strikeouts thus far, with a .364 slugging percentage allowed and a 1.08 WHIP. Opposing batters have managed to put up a .276 WOBA against him.
Zac Gallen’s last start ended with a quality outing, yet the Diamondbacks still fell to the Twins 5-3. Despite not earning the win, Gallen pitched seven innings of two-run ball, surrendering four hits.
In their five most recent games, the Diamondbacks have put together a batting average of only .192, placing them 27th compared to the rest of the league. At 4.7 runs per game, Arizona is 13th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .253 and OPS of .740 which has them 11th in baseball.
The Diamondbacks’ offensive leader, Ketel Marte, has been impressive this season. His batting average stands at .284, while his SLG% and OBP are both above .350, with the former sitting at .499. Marte has been a key contributor to the team’s success in 2023.