Last Updated: 2019-04-14
David Peralta and the struggling Arizona Diamondbacks will try to avoid losing their fifth straight game as they play host to the San Diego Padres at Chase Field. The game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will be airing the matchup.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
San Diego (+125) is entering this game as the underdog against Arizona (-135) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. Odds for playing the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. There’s a runline of Padres +1.5 (-170) and Diamondbacks -1.5 (+150) for this matchup.
The Padres have gone 11-5 SU this year and are 9-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 4.7 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 3.6 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 6-9 SU and 8-6 ATS. They’ve lost 1.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.7 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Arizona games have an over/under record of 9-4-1 thus far in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 7-8.
The southpaw Eric Lauer is the probable starter for the visiting Padres. Lauer is 2-1 with a 4.76 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks are planning to start righty Zack Greinke (1-1, 7.16 ERA), who’s got 22 strikeouts and three walks as well as a WHIP of 1.41. Greinke is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.
Arizona’s pitching staff has yielded 6.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.40, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.9. The bullpen has a 6.10 ERA, 1.66 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 10 divisional games, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 6.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.59.
Arizona’s hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .210/.302/.335 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Outfielders David Peralta and Adam Jones have led the Diamondbacks’ offense so far. Peralta is hitting .364/.391/.545 with 24 hits, seven RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Jones is hitting .333 with 20 hits, eight RBIs and six runs.
In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.18 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 8.05 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.73, along with a K-per-9 of 10.63.
Padres hitters have slashed .232/.305/.425 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
San Diego’s offense has been fueled by left fielder Wil Myers and third baseman Manny Machado. Myers is slashing .304/.339/.518 with 17 hits, seven RBIs and seven runs scored, while Machado is hitting .246/.348/.474 with 14 hits, four homers, eight RBIs and 10 runs scored.
The Padres have gained 1.8 units and are 5-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 2.8 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to one that went under the total.
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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San Diego has logged 17 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Arizona has 13 XBH over its last five.
The Padres have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 14 over their last 10.
The Padres have an OPS of .730 this season and an OPS of .697 against right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS sits at .791 overall and .757 versus righties.
Arizona has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.6 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six games SU.