San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick 05/15/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-15

The San Diego Padres will take the field against their divisional foe Los Angeles Dodgers. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Spectrum SportsNet LA will televise the matchup.

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Los Angeles (-150) as the favorite over San Diego (+140). If you think the game’s total will go under 8 runs scored, then Vegas is teeing up -115 odds. Taking the over will return -105 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -155 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +135 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Padres have gone 22-20 SU this year and are 20-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going, despite having lost 3.6 units ATS. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 28-16 SU and 18-25 ATS. The team has gained 5.7 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.5 units ATS.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 21-20-2 thus far in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 18-21-2.

Left-hander Matt Strahm will get the nod for San Diego. Strahm is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and eight strikeouts across six innings).

The Dodgers are handing the ball to righty Kenta Maeda (4-2, 4.03 ERA), who’s got 40 punchouts and 20 walks, along with a 1.30 WHIP. Maeda is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.

San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.79 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.15 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.29, along with a K/9 of 10.67.

The Padres offense has slashed .232/.291/.416 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is slashing .270/.320/.440 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 21 runs scored. Machado (.265/.335/.471) has produced nine homers, 23 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

For the home team, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 3.26 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.37 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 17 games against divisional opponents, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.43 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.46.

The Los Angeles hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 7.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .226/.314/.406 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Dodgers’ batters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner. Bellinger is slashing .409/.486/.785 with 15 home runs, 41 RBIs, 38 runs and seven stolen bases, while Turner’s line is .293/.384/.449 with six homers, 21 RBIs and 21 runs.

The Padres have gained 2.8 units and are 14-19 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 1.7 units and are 4-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to five which went under the total.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The over has cashed in just two of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

The Padres have lost three of their last four games SU.

Los Angeles has recorded 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.8 over its last five.

Both teams have hit 16 home runs over their last 10 games.

The Padres have a total OPS of .707 this season and an OPS of .696 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS sits at .803 overall and .813 versus righties.

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