San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick 09/27/19

The San Diego Padres are heading east to take on their divisional nemesis Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The game gets underway 9:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will be showing the matchup.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

San Diego (+115) is the underdog against Arizona (-125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -180 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +160 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.

The Diamondbacks are 82-77 straight up (SU) and 89-70 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.8 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, have gone 70-89 SU this year and are 72-86 ATS. They’ve lost 21.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 23.4 units ATS.

Neither team has been an obvious over/under play this year. Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 73-74-12 in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 75-74-9.

Eric Lauer is getting the nod for the visiting Padres. The left-handed Lauer is 8-10 with a 4.53 ERA and 130 strikeouts. He’s 1-3 with 23 strikeouts and a 3.91 ERA against Arizona this year (four starts).

The Diamondbacks are turning to righty Taylor Clarke (5-5, 5.40 ERA), who’s got 64 strikeouts and 29 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.38. Clarke is 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against San Diego this year.

San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.70 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.82 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.56, along with a K/9 of 9.92.

The Padres offense has slashed .237/.310/.409 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is slashing .268/.315/.426 with 21 home runs, 97 RBIs and 71 runs scored, while Machado (.250/.330/.448) is up to 30 homers, 82 RBIs and 79 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 73 games against NL West opponents, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 4.75 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.36.

Arizona’s offense has produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .235/.316/.387 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar have led the Diamondbacks’ hitters this year. Marte is slashing .329/.389/.592 with 32 home runs, 92 RBIs and 97 runs scored, while Escobar’s line is .271/.322/.518 with 35 homers, 118 RBIs and 94 runs.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER