The Brooklyn Nets (27-34) will be at home in the Barclays Center when they challenge the San Antonio Spurs (26-34). Action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, March 6, 2020, and it can be seen on YES Network.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Brooklyn Nets Odds Preview
The Spurs edged the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing, 104-103, but were unable to cover as 4-point favorites. Dejounte Murray was the top scorer from either team with 21 points on 9-for-14 shooting. San Antonio dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.1 (better than their season average of 10.8) and a free throw rate of 0.212 (above their season average of 0.203). Charlotte was 15.8 and 0.157, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 207 points, which was under the O/U total of 211.
In the Nets’ last game, they were 4-point favorites and were defeated by the Memphis Grizzlies, 118-79. With 14 points and six assists, Brooklyn’s Caris LeVert played well. Memphis had an offensive rebounding percentage of 38.3 (above their season average of 22.9). Brooklyn, meanwhile, did a terrific job of converting from the charity stripe (12-17; 70.6 percent). The two teams collectively scored 197 points, which came in well under the projected point total of 216.5.
These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to score 223 points, just over the projected point total of 219.5. The Spurs won 118-105, covering as 5-point favorites. The Spurs dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a superb turnover percentage of 9.4 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.1. For those same stats, the Nets were 15.8 and 15.0, respectively. In the loss, Jarrett Allen had a double-double with 19 points and 13 rebounds.
Of San Antonio’s 60 games, 36 have finished over the projected point total, while 30 of Brooklyn’s 61 games have finished under the projected point total. Both teams have middling straight up (SU) records (26-34 for San Antonio; 27-34 for Brooklyn), but the Nets have the advantage against the spread (ATS). Brooklyn is 29-30-2 ATS, while the Spurs are 23-35-2.
Brooklyn appears to have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Nets rank fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.506), while San Antonio is 17th in effective field goal percentage (0.529). Furthermore, the Spurs rank first in turnover percentage (11.8 percent), while the Nets rank 27th in opponents’ turnover percentage (11.8 percent).
San Antonio Spurs at Brooklyn Nets Free Prediction
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
The Nets rank seventh in second chance points per game (14.0) while the Spurs rank 28th (10.9).
San Antonio ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Brooklyn ranks 14th (7.8).
Brooklyn ranks second in rebounds per game (48.4) while San Antonio ranks 17th (44.6).
San Antonio ranks 25th in points off turnovers per game (14.9) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (14.7).
On the road, San Antonio is 14-15-2 ATS with 20 overs, 10 unders and 1 push.
Brooklyn is 16-14 ATS at home with 15 unders, 14 overs and 1 push.
Brooklyn is 8-1 when they allow under 100 points, while San Antonio is 2-0.
The Spurs are 26-29 when they score over 100 points, while the Nets are 27-26.
The Spurs rank ninth in blocks per game (5.4) while the Nets rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
Brooklyn ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (38.0) while San Antonio ranks 29th (28.6).
The Nets rank third in assists allowed per game (22.4) while the Spurs rank 27th (25.7).
The Spurs rank 14th in fast break points per game (13.5) while the Nets rank 16th in fast break points allowed per game (13.3).
Brooklyn ranks sixth in points in the paint per game (49.6) while San Antonio ranks 29th (43.2).
Bettings Trends:
Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five games, San Antonio is 0-5 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 12.0, up from 1.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (5.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.4 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
