2018-19 San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

Date | AuthorAdmir Aljic

Last Updated: 2018-08-20

san antonio spurs season previewTwo years after Tim Duncan’s retirement, the San Antonio Spurs are still the playoff caliber, and the last year first-round playoff exit should be considered as a success for Gregg Popovich’s boys. Likewise, Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker are both gone, while DeMar DeRozan arrived from Toronto, so the 2018-19 season could be a start of the new era in San Antonio. The futures and season props are already available on BetDSI Sportsbook, so let’s see what can the bettors expect from the Spurs this season.

San Antonio Spurs Futures Odds

Win Total Over/Under at 44.5: Over -115; Under -105
To Win the Southwest Division at +775
To Win the Western Conference at +4500
To Win the NBA Championship at +7000
To Make NBA Playoffs: YES -188, NO +137 (Bet365 Sportsbook)

San Antonio Spurs Player Movement

Draft: Lonnie Walker IV (No. 18 Pick), Chimezie Metu (No. 49 Pick)

Added: DeMar DeRozan (trade with Toronto Raptors), Jakob Poeltl (trade with Toronto Raptors), Marco Belinelli (free agency, Philadelphia 76ers), Dante Cunningham (free agency, Brooklyn Nets)

Lost: Kawhi Leonard (traded to Toronto Raptors), Danny Green (traded to Toronto Raptors), Tony Parker (signed with Charlotte Hornets), Kyle Anderson (signed with Memphis Grizzlies), Brandon Paul (waived)

Unrestricted Free Agent: Matt Costello

The Spurs selected Lonnie Walker IV with the 18th overall pick at the 2018 NBA Draft, and the 19-year old shooting guard could be nice addition due to his great physical abilities and impressive offensive arsenal. In one year at the University of Miami, Lonnie Walker averaged 11.5 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 1.9 assists while shooting 41.5% from the field and 34.6% from beyond the arc, finishing as the Hurricanes’ leading scorer. Walker is an explosive guard who loves to run the floor, but also possesses an excellent jump shot from the perimeter.

However, the most significant change in the Spurs’ roster is adding a four-time All-Star DeMar DeRozan via trade with the Toronto Raptors, as the Spurs sent their restless superstar Kawhi Leonard to Canada. Kawhi refused to be a part of the Spurs organization anymore, insisting to leave Texas, so Gregg Popovich decided to send him and the combo guard Danny Green to Toronto in exchange for DeMar DeRozan and the talented big man Jakob Poeltl.

Kawhi Leonard played seven years for the Spurs, winning the NBA championship in 2014 when he earned an NBA Finals MVP Award. Kawhi is a two-time All-Star, considered as one of the top five players in the league at the moment, but he played in only nine games last season due to an injury. In the 2016-17 season, Leonard averaged 25.5 points, 5.8 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 1.8 steals per game while shooting 48.5% from the field and 38.0% from beyond the arc. He’s arguably the best defender in the league, capable of switching everything, while his incredible work rate made him a deadly finisher.

DeMar DeRozan wasn’t happy at all with the Raptors’ decision to trade him this summer, but the 9th overall pick from the 2009 NBA Draft will have a chance to work with one of the greatest coaches of all time which can only make him a better player. DeRozan will be the Spurs’ main offensive weapon along with LaMarcus Aldridge, so he should continue with All-Star displays. Last year, DeRozan played 80 games in the regular season, averaging 23.0 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 5.2 assists while hitting 45.6% of his field goals, leading the Raptors to the Eastern Conference Semi-Finals. In ten post-season games, DeMar recorded 22.7 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 4.0 assists, shooting just 28.6% from beyond the arc.

Jakob Poeltl is a talented seven-footer, selected with the 9th overall pick by the Raptors at the 2016 NBA Draft. He played in all 82 games last season coming off the bench and averaging 6.9 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.2 blocks on 65.9% shooting from the field in 18.6 minutes per game. Poeltl is an intriguing prospect who could blossom this year under Gregg Popovich.
The Spurs also lost Tony Parker this summer, as the six-time All-Star and a four-time NBA champion decided to sign with the Hornets as a free agent after spending 17 years in San Antonio. Last year, Parker had some injury problems, recording 7.7 points and 3.5 assists in just 55 appearances.

San Antonio Spurs 2018-19 Roster

The 33-year old power forward LaMarcus Aldridge will enter his fourth season in San Antonio, and last year, he was a true leader, carrying the Spurs to the NBA Playoffs with 23.1 points and 8.5 rebounds per game on 51.0% shooting from the field. The six-time All-Star is a prolific scorer who does most of his damage with the mid-range jump shots, and he also likes to play with his back to the rim. Aldridge should be the first scoring option in this term, and the Spurs’ fans just can’t wait to see him and DeRozan together in the action.

The 30-year old Australian Patty Mills should be a starting playmaker, but he will probably split the minutes with the talented 21-year old Dejounte Murray. Mills is a great shooter from downtown, but he also likes to drive the lane off the pick and roll situations, while his energy and presence in the locker room are invaluable for the Spurs. Last year, Mills played in all 82 games, recording 10.0 points, and 2.8 assists in 25.7 minutes per game, hitting 41.1% of his field goals and 37.2% of the 3-pointers. On the other side, Dejounte Murray is the Spurs’ future star who played 81 games last season, averaging 8.1 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 2.9 assists in 21.5 minutes per game.

Manu Ginobili is 41 years old, but the Argentinian master will play his 17th NBA season, all with the Spurs. The four-time NBA champion and a two-time All-Star will try to help the young guns to improve their game, while he’s still capable of making the damage. Ginobili is a veteran who can do all little things for his teammates on both sides of the ball, and last year, he averaged 8.9 points and 2.5 assists in 20.0 minutes per game, appearing in 65 games during the regular season.

Rudy Gay will be starting at small forward after playing just 57 games last year due to injury problems. He averaged 11.5 points and 5.1 rebounds on 47.1% shooting from the field, but if he stays healthy, Gay should have an important role this season. The veteran big man Pau Gasol will be starting at center, but the Spurs’ fans don’t expect too much from the 38-year old who recorded 10.1 points and 8.0 rebounds last year. Gasol is a two-time NBA champion and a six-time All-Star, so he could have a great impact on Jakob Poeltl’s development.

Players Under Contract:

Patty Mills (PG), Dejounte Murray (PG), Derrick White (PG)
DeMar DeRozan (SG), Manu Ginobili (SG), Lonnie Walker IV (SG), Bryn Forbes (SG)
Rudy Gay (SF), Marco Belinelli (SF), Davis Bertans (SF-PF)
LaMarcus Aldridge (PF), Dante Cunningham (PF)
Pau Gasol (C), Jakob Poeltl (C)

Win Total Prediction and Betting Picks

The Spurs barely reached the playoffs last year with 47 wins, playing without Kawhi Leonard, so they should be better in this term with DeMar DeRozan in the starting lineup. Interestingly, the bookies set the line on the total win at 45.5 games, expecting to see more struggling from the Spurs.

However, Gregg Popovich is a mastermind who always finds the way to improve his team’s play, so I wouldn’t bet against the Pop. Last year, the Spurs played some excellent defense, allowing just 104.8 points to their opponents per 100 possessions which was the third-best record in the league. On the other hand, the Spurs had the 17th-best offensive rating (107.9), but with DeMar DeRozan in the team, they have to improve offensively.

The Spurs are set as -188 favorites to clinch the playoff berth, and it shouldn’t be a problem if they surpass the 45-win mark. They are +7575 underdogs on Bet365 Sportsbook to win the Southwest Division, but the second place behind the mighty Houston Rockets would be a great achievement. I think the Spurs will play in the first round of the NBA Playoffs, and the second round should be their limit.

The Pick: Over 44.5 (-115)

Prediction: Western Conference First Round

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