Betting on today’s Bulldogs and Bears game? Catch the action at Hawkins Arena in Macon, GA, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. In this Southern matchup, Samford is favored by -10.5 vs. Mercer. The over/under for the game is 148.5 points.


The Pick: Mercer Bears +10.5

This game will be played at Hawkins Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Mercer pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can Samford Pull Off a Road Win?

Samford comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in all 17 games they have played this season. Their overall record is 23-3, and they have won six straight games. On the road, the Bulldogs are 8-3, and they have won their last four games away from home.

Most recently, Samford beat Western Carolina by a score of 88-62. Over their last 10 road games, the Bulldogs have gone 8-2.

When looking at Samford’s overall ATS record this season, they have gone 15-8. In games where they have been favored, the Bulldogs have gone 12-5 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-4 and over their last 10 road games, they are 7-3 vs. the spread. In their last three road games, Samford is a perfect 3-0 ATS.

Samford’s over/under record for the season is 9-14. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (156.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points.

In their latest game, Samford offense put up 88 points against Western Carolina. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 50% and made 9 threes. The team’s top scorer is Achor Achor, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 15.4, while A.J. Staton Mccray also maintains a PPG average of 12.7 leading up to the game.

The Bulldogs’ defense is presently ranked 205th nationally, allowing an average of 73.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Western Carolina, the Catamounts finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 62 points vs. Samford.

Do the Bears Stand a Chance at Home?

After losing their last two games, Mercer will look to get back on track when they host Samford. The Bears are 11-15 this season and have gone 5-5 at home. So far, they have gone 4-10 when listed as the underdog.

Most recently, Mercer fell to Wofford by a score of 73-60. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bears have gone 6-4. On the season, they have been outscored by an average of 6.8 points per game on the road.

As the underdog, Mercer has an ATS record of 7-7 this season. At home, the Bears are 6-4 vs. the spread this year and 5-3 over their last 10 games as the home team.

This season, the over/under record for Mercer is 11-10-2 and today’s line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (139.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 2-6-2.

Mercer offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 60 points against Wofford. In that game, they made 8/19 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 41.5%. Offensively, the Bears hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 274th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 259th in terms of percentage and 292nd in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Bears’ defense holds the 131st rank in the nation, allowing 70.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Wofford, the Terriers finished with a field goal percentage of 51% and a total of 73 points vs. Mercer.