Planning on watching today’s Bearkats and Gamecocks game? Catch the action at Pete Mathews Coliseum in Jacksonville, AL, as the Gamecocks hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. This Conference USA conference matchup has an over/under of 135 points, and Jacksonville State is favored to win by -2.5 at home vs. Sam Houston State.

SAM HOUSTON STATE BEARKATS VS JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -2.5

This game will be played at Pete Mathews Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 8th.

WHY BET THE JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Gamecocks.
  • Not only will Jacksonville State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can Sam Houston State Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

Sam Houston State has been much better at home this season, going 7-2 compared to 5-8 on the road. They will be the underdog in this one, as they are getting 2.5 points. So far this season, the Bearkats have been the underdog in 9 of their 23 games, going 2-7.

Over their last 10 games on the road, Sam Houston State has gone 4-6, and they are coming off a 68-61 loss to FIU. So far this season, they have gone 13-10, including a 6-2 mark in Conference USA.

As the underdog, Sam Houston State has gone 4-5 against the spread this season. Over their last three road games, the Bearkats are 1-2 vs. the spread and 5-5 in their last 10 road games.

On the season, the over/under record in Sam Houston State games is 12-10, and today’s line of 135 is lower than the average over/under line in Bearkats games this year (141.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points, and their OU record in their last three games is 0-3.

In their latest game, Sam Houston State offense put up 61 points against FIU. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 32.3% and made 7 threes. Offensively, the Bearkats hold a season-long field goal percentage of 40%, placing them 365th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 303rd in terms of percentage and 215th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Sam Houston State defense is giving up an average of 71.1 points per contest. Against FIU in their most recent game, the Sam Houston State defense gave up a total of 68 points while allowing FIU to hit 34% of their shots.

Can the Gamecocks Deliver Being Favored at Home?

After losing their last game to New Mexico State by a score of 67-65, Jacksonville State will look to get back on track today. So far this season, they have gone 11-12, including a record of 5-4 at home. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 6-4. For the year, they have been favored in eight games, going 5-3 in those matchups.

Through 23 games, Jacksonville State has gone 3-5 in Conference USA. Compared to their road record, the Gamecocks have been much better at home this season. They are averaging a scoring margin of +6.8 points per game at home, compared to -0.2 on the road. Currently, they are on a two-game losing streak.

As the favorite, Jacksonville State has gone 4-4 against the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gamecocks have a 6-4 ATS mark. At home this year, Jacksonville State is 4-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 135 is similar to the average over/under line of 134.7 in Jacksonville State’s games. Their over/under record for the season is 8-13, and over their last three games, the OU record is 2-1. So far, 13 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line of 135.

In contrast to their season average of 70.5 points per game, the Jacksonville State had a below average performance. They scored 65 points against New Mexico State and had a field goal percentage of 38.1%. In terms of offense, the Gamecocks have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 118th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 304th in percentage and 342nd in three-pointers made.

So far this season, the Jacksonville State defense has been performing well, ranking 29th in the country at 64.7 points allowed per contest. Jacksonville State’s three-point defense is currently 36th in the country at 5.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 37.9% of their shots vs. Jacksonville State.