Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Gaels and Broncos. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Broncos at Leavey Center in Santa Clara, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The Gaels are the favorites in this West Coast conference matchup the against the Broncos. The over/under for the game is set at 134.5 points.


The Pick: Santa Clara Broncos +5.5

This game will be played at Leavey Center at 7:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Broncos.
  • Not only will Santa Clara pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can The Gaels Secure a Win at Santa Clara?

With a record of 12-6, Saint Mary’s has been on a roll, winning four games in a row. They are also undefeated in West Coast Conference play at 3-0.

On the road, the Gaels are a perfect 4-0, and they have won their last four games away from home.

As the favorite this season, Saint Mary’s has gone 6-10 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gaels have gone 4-6 vs. the spread. On the road this season, Saint Mary’s has an ATS mark of just 1-3. Over their last 10 road games, the Gaels have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Saint Mary’s games is 9-8. The average scoring total in their games this year is 131.1, which is lower than the average OU line of 132.1. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 3-0.

Coming off their recent game, the Saint Mary’s offense tallied 95 points in a matchup against Portland. Their field goal percentage for the game was 55.6%, and they made 16 threes. The top scorer for the Gaels was Aidan Mahaney with 25 points, while Alex Ducas also added 17 to the scoreboard.

Coming into today’s game, the Saint Mary’s defense is giving up an average of 59.1 points per contest. Against Portland in their most recent game, the Saint Mary’s defense gave up a total of 52 points while allowing Portland to hit 55% of their shots.

Can the Broncos Pull Off a Home Win?

Heading into their matchup with Saint Mary’s, Santa Clara has won three straight games and sits at 12-6 overall. They are 3-0 in West Coast Conference games and 9-6 in non-conference action.

So far, the Broncos have gone 6-4 at home compared to 4-2 on the road. They are currently riding a two-game win streak away from home and have an average scoring margin of +2.7 points per game at home.

As the underdog this season, Santa Clara has gone 5-3 against the spread. They have an overall ATS record of 7-9 and are 3-7 vs. the spread at home this season. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Broncos have an ATS mark of 7-3.

This season, the over/under record for Santa Clara games is 6-9-1. The average scoring total in their games is 145.4 points, which is lower than the average over/under line of 150.4. Today’s over/under line is 134.5. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than that line.

The Santa Clara offense is coming off a game where they scored 77 points against Gonzaga. They posted a field goal percentage of 44.6% and connected on 9 threes. Leading Santa Clara in scoring vs. Gonzaga was Adama Bal with his 17 points. Brenton Knapper also added 16 points for the Broncos.

On defense, Santa Clara is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. Gonzaga, the Bulldogs finished with a field goal percentage of 44% and a total of 76 points vs. Santa Clara.