Looking to win big? The Gaels and Waves face off at 11:00 ET on CBSS. The Waves are hosting the game at Firestone Fieldhouse in Malibu, CA. Saint Mary’s is favored by -15.5 in this West Coast conference contest against Pepperdine. The game’s over/under currently sits at 136.5 points.


The Pick: Pepperdine Waves +15.5

This game will be played at Firestone Fieldhouse at 11:00 ET on Thursday, February 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Waves.
  • Not only will Pepperdine pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +15.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Do the Gaels Stand a Chance in Malibu?

After winning their last game against San Diego by a score of 88-62, Saint Mary’s comes into this game with a record of 23-6 and a 15-game win streak. Their record in West Coast Conference play is a perfect 14-0, and they have yet to lose on the road this season, going 9-0.

On the season, Saint Mary’s has been favored in 25 of their 29 games, going 19-6 in those contests. For the year, their average scoring margin on the road is +14.3, and they have gone 9-1 in their last 10 road games.

When looking at Saint Mary’s ATS record this season, they are currently sitting at 15-13. On the road, the Gaels have gone 6-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 3 road games, they are a perfect 3-0 vs. the spread and have gone 5-0 in their last 5 road games ATS. As the favorite this season, Saint Mary’s is 12-13 vs. the spread. In their last 3 games as the favorite, they have gone 2-1 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Saint Mary’s games is 15-13 and today’s over/under line of 136.5 is higher than the average over/under line of 133.1 in their games. So far, 19 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and their games have averaged 149 points during this stretch.

Saint Mary’s finished with 88 points in their game against San Diego. This total surpasses their season-average of 74.6 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Aidan Mahaney, who is averaging 13.9 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Augustas Marciulionis also maintains a PPG average of 12.2 heading into game.

At this time, the Gaels’ defense is positioned 3rd in the country, permitting 58.1 points per game. Saint Mary’s’ defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the San Diego offense to knock down 55% of their shots on their way to putting up 62 points.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Waves?

Pepperdine will be looking to bounce back from a 92-68 loss to San Francisco. The Waves have gone 1-4 in their last five games at home, and they are 7-8 at home this season compared to 3-10 on the road.

On the year, Pepperdine has gone 12-18, including a 5-10 record in West Coast Conference action. As the underdog, the Waves have gone just 2-14 this season.

As the underdog, Pepperdine has gone 4-12 vs. the spread this season and is 12-16 overall. Their ATS mark at home is 8-7 and they are 2-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Waves have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Pepperdine’s over/under record this season is 14-12-2 and today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (149.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 159 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 7-3.

In contrast to their season average of 73.1 points per game, the Pepperdine had a below average performance. They scored 68 points against San Francisco and had a field goal percentage of 45.8%. Jevon Porter was the leading scorer for the Waves, putting up 23 points. In addition, Houston Mallette contributed 15 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Pepperdine defense is giving up an average of 75.4 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.4 threes per game vs. Saint Mary’s. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 36.4%.