Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Gaels and Lions. The game is starting at 9:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Lions at Gersten Pavilion in Los Angeles, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The Gaels are the favorites in this West Coast conference matchup the against the Lions. The over/under for the game is set at 129.5 points.
SAINT MARY’S GAELS VS LOYOLA MARYMOUNT LIONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Loyola Marymount Lions +9.5
This game will be played at Gersten Pavilion at 9:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.
WHY BET THE LOYOLA MARYMOUNT LIONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Lions.
- Not only will Loyola Marymount pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +9.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 129.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Can Saint Mary’s Pull Off a Road Win?
Saint Mary’s will be hitting the road to take on Loyola Marymount as 9.5-point favorites. So far, the Gaels have an overall record of 10-6 and have won their last two games.
On the road this season, Saint Mary’s is a perfect 3-0 and has an average scoring margin of +5.3 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, the Gaels are an impressive 7-3.
So far this season, Saint Mary’s has an ATS record of 6-9, but they have gone just 1-4 vs. the spread in their last five road games. As the favorite this year, the Gaels are 5-9 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 129.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Saint Mary’s games this season (132). So far, 12 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 129.5. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 131 points compared to their season average of 129.9 points per game.
Saint Mary’s’ offense is coming off a strong performance vs. San Diego, finishing the game with a total of 81 points. Their season average is now 71 points per game. In terms of offense, the Gaels have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 208th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 368th in percentage and 269th in three-pointers made.
Coming into today’s game, the Saint Mary’s defense is giving up an average of 59.2 points per contest. Saint Mary’s’ three-point defense is currently 19th in the country at 4.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.0% of their shots vs. Saint Mary’s.
Does Loyola Marymount Have What it Takes at Home?
Loyola Marymount comes into today’s matchup as a 9.5 point underdog against Saint Mary’s. So far this season, the Lions have gone 7-8 and have lost their last three games.
At home this season, Loyola Marymount is 6-6 and has an average scoring margin of +6.8 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, the Lions are 5-5.
When looking at Loyola Marymount’s ATS record this season, they have gone 5-10 so far. At home, they have a mark of 4-8 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, they are 0-3 ATS.
So far this season, the over/under record for Loyola Marymount games sits at 7-8 and today’s line of 129.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (146.7). This year, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.
The Loyola Marymount offense is coming off a game where they scored 57 points against Santa Clara. They posted a field goal percentage of 29.8% and connected on 4 threes. The team’s top scorer is Dominick Harris, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 14.1, while Justin Wright also carries a PPG average of 10.7 into the game.
At this time, the Lions’ defense is positioned 113rd in the country, permitting 69.5 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.1 threes per game vs. Saint Mary’s. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 37.5%.