Looking to win big? The Hawks and Minutemen face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Minutemen are hosting the game at William D. Mullins Memorial Center in Amherst, MA. The over/under for this Atlantic 10 conference contest is set at 154.5 points, with the Minutemen being the favored team playing at home against the Hawks.
SAINT JOSEPH’S HAWKS VS MASSACHUSETTS MINUTEMEN BETTING PICK
The Pick: Massachusetts Minutemen -2.5
This game will be played at William D. Mullins Memorial Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 23rd.
WHY BET THE MASSACHUSETTS MINUTEMEN:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Minutemen.
- Not only will Massachusetts pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Will Saint Joseph’s Be The Talk of William D. Mullins Memorial Center?
Through 18 games, Saint Joseph’s has a 12-6 record, including a 2-3 mark in Atlantic 10 play. The Hawks have won their last two games, and they are 10-2 at home compared to 2-4 on the road.
As the underdog, Saint Joseph’s has a 1-2 record, and they are 11-4 when favored. Their average scoring margin on the road is 0.0 points per game, and they have lost their last three road games.
As the underdog, Saint Joseph’s has a solid ATS record of 2-1 this season. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hawks have gone 7-3 vs. the spread. However, their ATS mark on the road this year sits at just 3-3 and they are 0-3 ATS in their last three road games.
So far this season, the over/under record for Saint Joseph’s games is 8-9-1. The average over/under line in their games is 146.2 and today’s line is 154.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 145 points.
In contrast to their season average of 77.8 points per game, the Saint Joseph’s had a below average performance. They scored 71 points against Duquesne and had a field goal percentage of 47.3%. Erik Reynolds II is leading the team in scoring at 17.5 points per contest. Lynn Greer III has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.8 going into the game.
Currently, the Hawks’ defense holds the 80th rank in the nation, allowing 67.6 points per game. Against Duquesne in their most recent game, the Saint Joseph’s defense gave up a total of 69 points while allowing Duquesne to hit 47% of their shots.
Is a Home Win Possible for the Minutemen?
Massachusetts comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been the favorite in 15 of their 18 games this season. They have gone 11-4 as the favorite, compared to 1-2 as the underdog.
At home, the Minutemen have been dominant, going 10-2 with an average scoring margin of +14.4 points per game. They have won five straight at home, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 8-2.
As the favorite, Massachusetts has gone 10-5 against the spread this season. Their overall ATS mark is 13-5. At home, the Minutemen are 9-3 vs. the spread this year and have gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.
UMass’ over/under record this season is 10-8 and today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (150.2). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 156 points compared to their season average of 153.1 points per game. So far this season, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.
In their most recent game, the Minutemen’s offense tallied 81 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 81.4 points per game. Offensively, the Minutemen hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 119th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 326th in terms of percentage and 281st in three-pointers made.
Currently, the Minutemen’s defense holds the 158th rank in the nation, allowing 71.7 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Massachusetts’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.2% this season.