Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Hornets and Bears. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Bears at Bank of Colorado Arena in Greeley, CO. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 148.5 points, and the Bears are favored to win at home against the Hornets.


The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +8.5

This game will be played at Bank of Colorado Arena at 8:00 ET on Thursday, January 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bears.
  • Even though we have Northern Colorado winning straight-up, we like Sacramento State at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Hornets Offense Score Enough in Greeley?

After starting the season just 4-9, Sacramento State has gone 2-2 in Big Sky play and enters today’s game on a two-game winning streak. The Hornets are 6-11 overall and have gone 1-7 on the road this season.

Sacramento State is 2-8 as the underdog this season, and they have lost their last four road games. Their average scoring margin on the road is -14.1 points per game.

As the underdog, Sacramento State has gone 3-6-1 vs. the spread this season and is 2-2-1 in their last 5 games as the road team. Overall, their ATS mark is just 4-9-2. On the road, the Hornets have an ATS record of 2-5-1.

Sacramento State’s over/under record this season is 7-8 and today’s line of 148.5 is higher than their average over/under line of 139.8. So far, 12 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 127 points.

In their latest game, Sacramento State offense put up 66 points against Idaho State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 50.9% and made 4 threes. Leading Sacramento State in scoring vs. Idaho State was Zee Hamoda with his 17 points. Jacob Holt also added 12 points for the Hornets.

On defense, Sacramento State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. Idaho State, the Bengals finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 64 points vs. Sacramento State.

Can Northern Colorado Grab a Win at Home?

Through 16 games, Northern Colorado has a record of 9-7, including a 3-2 mark at home. For the season, the Bears have been outscored by an average of 1.4 points per game at home.

Over their last 10 games at home, Northern Colorado has gone 7-3. In their most recent game, the Bears lost to Montana State, 90-81.

As the favorite this season, Northern Colorado has struggled against the spread with a 1-4-1 record. Their overall ATS mark is 5-7-1. At home, the Bears are just 1-3-1 vs. the spread and they have gone 3-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Northern Colorado’s games this year (149.9). So far, their over/under record is 10-3. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 176 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 8-2.

Northern Colorado’s offense had a good outing, putting up 81 points against Montana State. They achieved a 49.2% field goal percentage and went 12/16 from the free-throw line. On the offensive front, the Bears have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 64th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 105th in terms of percentage and 115th in three-pointers made.

The Bears’ defense is presently ranked 289th nationally, allowing an average of 79.8 points per contest. Northern Colorado’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Montana State offense to knock down 56% of their shots on their way to putting up 90 points.