Betting on today’s Hornets and Bobcats game? Catch the action at Brick Breeden Fieldhouse in Bozeman, MT, as the Bobcats hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Big Sky conference game currently have Montana State as the -7.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 132 points.


The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +7.5

This game will be played at Brick Breeden Fieldhouse at 8:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bobcats.
  • Even though we have Montana State winning straight-up, we like Sacramento State at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Does Sacramento State Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

For Sacramento State, they are coming into this game with a record of 6-22. Their last game was a 68-61 loss to Montana, and they have lost 11 games in a row. On the road this season, they have gone 1-13, and their average scoring margin is -12.2 points per game.

As the underdog, they have gone 2-16 this season, and they are 2-13 in Big Sky Conference games. Their record against the spread is 2-6 when they are the underdog. So far this season, they have been the underdog in 18 of their 28 games.

As the underdog, Sacramento State has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 8-9-1. Their overall ATS mark is 9-15-2. On the road, the Hornets are 5-8-1 vs. the spread this year and 4-5-1 in their last 10 road games. In their last three games as the underdog, Sacramento State is 3-0 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Sacramento State games is 10-16. The average scoring total in their games this year is 133.5 points, which is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 137.7. Today’s over/under line of 132 is similar to the average scoring total in their last three games (137) and their last five games (126). Over their last 10 games, their over/under record is 2-8.

The Hornets’ offense finished with 61 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 65.6 points per contest. Akolda Mawein led the team in scoring, putting up 13 points. Additionally, Austin Patterson contributed 13 points for the Hornets.

In terms of defense, Sacramento State is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.4 points per game. In their previous game vs. Montana, the Grizzlies finished with a field goal percentage of 57% and a total of 68 points vs. Sacramento State.

Are the Bobcats Ready for a Home Win?

Montana State has been a much better team at home this season, going 7-5 compared to 3-9 on the road. They are also 5-4 when favored, compared to 5-10 as the underdog.

The Bobcats have won their last game, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 home games. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of +2.8 points per game at home.

When looking at Montana State’s ATS record this season, they are currently 11-13. At home, their ATS mark sits at 5-7, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 132 is lower than the average over/under line in Montana State’s games this year (143.7). This season, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 147 points.

In their latest game, Montana State offense put up 72 points against Portland State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.8% and made 9 threes. The team’s top scorer is Robert Ford, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.4, while Brian Goracke also carries a PPG average of 13.9 into the game.

The Bobcats’ defense is presently ranked 239th nationally, allowing an average of 74.4 points per contest. Against Portland State, the Bobcats’ defense gave up 67 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Portland State only made 9 free-throws.