Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Hornets and Grizzlies. The game is starting at 9:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Grizzlies at Dahlberg Arena in Missoula, MT. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 131 points, and Montana is favored by -13 vs. Sacramento State in a Big Sky conference matchup.


The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +13

This game will be played at Dahlberg Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Grizzlies.
  • Even though we have Montana winning straight-up, we like Sacramento State at +13.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Do the Hornets Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Sacramento State has a 6-21 record heading into today’s game. On the road, they are 1-12 and at home they are 3-9. As of today’s game, Sacramento State has an 8-15-2 record against the spread. When playing away from home, the Hornets are 4-8-1 vs. the spread, while they are 4-7-1 at home ATS.

In 27 games, Sacramento State comes in with an over/under mark of 10-15-0, with their games averaging 133.7 points per game. When looking at the Hornets’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 132 points per game.

Coming off their recent game, the Sacramento State offense tallied 75 points in a matchup against Northern Colorado. Their field goal percentage for the game was 56.6%, and they made 11 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Duncan Powell, who is averaging 12.8 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Zee Hamoda also maintains a PPG average of 11.5 heading into game.

Sacramento State’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.5 points per game. Against Northern Colorado, the Hornets’ defense gave up 80 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Northern Colorado only made 4 free-throws.

Will Montana Make it Happen at Home?

Montana comes into today’s game against Sacramento State with a season record of 17-9. The Grizzlies have a 7-6 record on the road and a 7-3 record this year. As of today’s game, Montana holds a 14-9 ATS record. In their previous five games, they are 2-3 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through 26 games, Montana has an over/under record of 12-11-0, with their games averaging 147.5 points per game on average. When assessing the Grizzlies’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 3-0, with their games averaging 158 points per game.

Montana’s offense had a good outing, putting up 88 points against Montana State. They achieved a 46.9% field goal percentage and went 15/18 from the free-throw line. In terms of three-point shooting, the Grizzlies offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 21.6 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 47%.

Montana’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. Montana State, the Bobcats finished with a field goal percentage of 46% and a total of 69 points vs. Montana.