Looking to win big? The Hornets and Grizzlies face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Grizzlies are hosting the game at Dahlberg Arena in Missoula, MT. The over/under for this game is set at 131 points, and Montana is favored by -13 vs. Sacramento State in a Big Sky conference matchup.


The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +13

This game will be played at Dahlberg Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Grizzlies.
  • Even though we have Montana winning straight-up, we like Sacramento State at +13.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Taking a Look at the Hornets Chances in Missoula

Sacramento State enters their 28th game of the season with a 6-21 overall record. In road games, the Hornets have a 1-12 record, while they are 3-9 at home. Sacramento State’s ATS record is currently sitting at 8-15-2, placing them below .500. The team has gone 4-8-1 vs. the spread on the road and 4-7-1 at home.

Sacramento State comes in with an over/under record of 10-15-0 through 27 games, with their games averaging a combined 133.7 points per game so far. The Hornets’ last five games have finished with a combined 122 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.

The Sacramento State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 75 points vs. Northern Colorado. Overall their field goal percentage was 56.6% while connecting on 11 threes. Austin Patterson was the leading scorer for the Hornets, putting up 29 points. In addition, Duncan Powell contributed 19 points.

In terms of defense, Sacramento State is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.5 points per game. Against Northern Colorado, the Hornets’ defense gave up 80 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Northern Colorado only made 4 free-throws.

Will Montana Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

Montana, who currently stands at 17-9 overall, will be playing their 27th game of the season. In away games, the Grizzlies have a 7-6 record while at home they are 7-3. As of today’s game, Montana’s against the spread record stands at 14-9. In their last five games, they are 2-3 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through 26 games, Montana has an over/under record of 12-11-0, with their games averaging 147.5 points per game on average. The Grizzlies’ last five games have culminated with an average of 152 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

Montana’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 88 points against Montana State. They had an overall field goal percentage of 46.9% and made 15/18 free throws. For the season, the Montana offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 54% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 7.6 made three’s per contest.

So far, the Grizzlies’ defense is ranked 165th in the country at 71.7 points per contest. Against Montana State in their most recent game, the Montana defense gave up a total of 69 points while allowing Montana State to hit 46% of their shots.