Planning on watching today’s Hornets and Bengals game? Catch the action at Holt Arena in Pocatello, ID, as the Bengals hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Big Sky conference game currently have Idaho State as the -5.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 126.5 points.


The Pick: Idaho State Bengals -5.5

This game will be played at Holt Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Bengals.
  • Not only will Idaho State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 126.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can the Hornets Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

After losing their last six games, Sacramento State is just 6-17 on the season and 2-8 in Big Sky play. The Hornets have been even worse on the road, going just 1-10 away from home this year, including a current seven-game losing streak.

Overall, Sacramento State has been an underdog in 14 of their 23 games, going 2-12 in those contests. They come into this game as 5.5-point underdogs, and their average scoring margin on the road is -11.9 points per game.

As the underdog, Sacramento State has a solid ATS record of 5-8-1 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-7-1, including a 1-4 record in their last five road games. For the year, the Hornets are just 6-13-2 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, Sacramento State is 5-4-1.

This season, the over/under record for Sacramento State games is 8-13, and today’s over/under line of 126.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (139.4). This year, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 117 points.

The Sacramento State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 45 points vs. Idaho. Overall their field goal percentage was 32.6% while connecting on 4 threes. The top scorer for the Hornets was Zee Hamoda with 8 points, while Austin Patterson also chipped in with 8 points.

Currently, the Hornets’ defense holds the 127th rank in the nation, allowing 70.7 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Sacramento State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.2% this season.

Will Idaho State Win at Home?

Idaho State enters tonight’s game against Sacramento State as 5.5-point favorites. The Bengals are 3-1 this season when favored, and they have gone 7-3 in their last ten home games.

Overall, Idaho State is 9-14 on the season, including a 4-5 mark in Big Sky Conference play. The Bengals have won two straight games, and they are 3-3 at home this season.

Idaho State has not been a good team to bet on this season, as they have an ATS record of just 7-12-1. Their ATS mark at home is even worse, as they have gone just 1-5 vs. the spread in their own building. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bengals have gone just 2-8 ATS.

Idaho State’s over/under record for the season is 12-6-2 and the average scoring total in their games is 138.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 126.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (135.7). Their last three games have had an average scoring total of 158 points and their over/under record in their last three games is 3-0. So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

In their recent matchup, the Idaho State offense ended with 81 points against Northern Arizona. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.5% and made 6 threes. Brayden Parker is leading the team in scoring at 14.3 points per contest. Miguel Tomley has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12.4 going into the game.

The Bengals’ defense is presently ranked 121st nationally, allowing an average of 70.1 points per contest. Idaho State’s three-point defense is currently 16th in the country at 5.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.0% of their shots vs. Idaho State.