The Hornets and Eagles are set to face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Eagles will host the game at Idaho Central Arena in Boise, ID. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 140.5 points, and Eastern Washington is favored by -10.5 to win at home against Sacramento State.


The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +10.5

This game will be played at Idaho Central Arena at 7:30 ET on Sunday, March 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Eagles.
  • Even though we have Eastern Washington winning straight-up, we like Sacramento State at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can Sacramento State Stun the Crowd at Idaho Central Arena?

As a team, Sacramento State is 9-23 this season, including a 5-14 mark in Big Sky play. On the road, the Hornets are 3-13, and their average scoring margin is -10.0 points per game. They come into this game on a two-game road winning streak.

So far this season, Sacramento State has been the underdog in 22 of their 32 games, going 5-17 in those matchups. The Hornets have gone 2-6 when favored.

As the underdog this season, Sacramento State has gone 12-9-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hornets are 8-2 vs. the spread. On the road, Sacramento State has an ATS mark of 7-8-1 this year and they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three road contests.

Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Sacramento State games this season (137.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 149 points.

Sacramento State is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 72 points vs. Idaho. This figure is more than their season average of 66.8 points per game. Offensively, the Hornets have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 310th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 333rd in percentage and 186th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Hornets’ defense is ranked 123rd in the country at 70.3 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Sacramento State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Idaho knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 64 points.

Can Eastern Washington Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Eastern Washington has been dominant at home this season, going 8-1 with an average scoring margin of +11.6 points per game. The Eagles have won nine of their last ten games at home, and they are 14-3 this season when favored.

Eastern Washington has been even better in Big Sky play, going 14-3 compared to 7-7 in non-conference games. The Eagles have won three straight games and are 21-10 overall this season.

Eastern Washington has an ATS record of 18-10 this season, which includes a mark of 5-4 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Eagles have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Eastern Washington has an over/under record of 18-9-1 this season, and their games have averaged 155.6 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (150.1). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 186 points.

Eastern Washington’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 91 points against Sacramento State. They had an overall field goal percentage of 60.3% and made 13/18 free throws. The top scorer for the Eagles was Dane Erikstrup with 24 points, while Casey Jones also added 17 to the scoreboard.

Coming into the game, Eastern Washington will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 75.3 points per game (254th). In their previous game vs. Sacramento State, the Hornets finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 88 points vs. Eastern Washington.