The Miami Heat (-114) will host the Sacramento Kings (-107) at the Kaseya Center in a non-conference matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 ET and the game will be televised on NBCS.

Miami (24-23) is currently riding a seven-game losing streak and is 7th in the Eastern Conference. Sacramento (27-18) has won four straight and is 5th in the Western Conference.


The Pick: Sacramento Kings +1

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-111 in favor of the Kings.
  • Our projections have De’Aaron Fox finishing with De’Aaron Fox points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Kings finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.0% and knocking down 16 threes.

Will Sacramento Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

As the underdog, the Kings have gone 4-6 this season and are looking to win their 3rd straight game against the spread as the underdog. They are also 7-3 ATS on the road as the underdog compared to 17-18 overall.

Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is 21-23-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s line of 229.5 is lower than their season average of 236.4.

Sacramento’s last game finished with a combined scoring total of 197 points, which was well below the O/U line of 223.5. The Kings won the game by a score of 103-94, and they were favored by 11 points.

The Kings are currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 27-18. In non-conference games, they are 9-5 compared to 18-13 against the West. In the Pacific Division, they are 2nd.

In terms of pace, the Kings are 9th in the league, averaging 100.2 possessions per game. They are also 9th in scoring at 118.4 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging 115.6 points per game compared to 121.3 at home.

Sacramento is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 4th in both three-point attempts and makes per game. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Kings are 4th in the league at 56%. In terms of assists, they are 5th in the NBA. In terms of free throws, they are 27th in makes and 20th in attempts.

Coming into today’s game, the Kings’ defense is giving up an average of 117.5 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Kings are forcing 12.8 per game, which is 14th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 27th in blocked shots at 4.1 per game.

Do the Heat Have What it Takes at Home?

Miami is favored by 1 point today, and they have been the favorite in 28 of their 47 games this season. However, they have gone 19-26 against the spread and have failed to cover in their last seven games.

In their last game, the Heat were favored by 2.5 points but lost to the Suns by a score of 118-105. This loss extended their losing streak to seven games.

In the Eastern Conference standings, Miami is currently 7th with a record of 24-23. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 18-15 compared to 6-8 against the West.

On average, Miami’s games have finished with 222.1 points this season. Today’s O/U line is set at 229.5, and the Heat have a 20-27 O/U record for the season.

In their last game, the Heat’s 230-point O/U line was slightly higher than their season average of 222.5. This game finished with a combined score of 223 points, going under the O/U line.

The Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.4 points per game. However, at home, they are averaging 113.6 points per game.

So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 34.0% of their games. They have also scored less than their own scoring average in their last 10 games.

From beyond the arc, the Heat are shooting 37% on the season, which is 5th in the league. Overall, they are 27th in field goal percentage at 46%.

At present, the Heat’s defense is ranked 7th, allowing 111.7 points per game. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.6% and 37.3% from three-point territory.