At 9:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (+266) will take on the Denver Nuggets (-338) at Ball Arena in Denver. The Nuggets are currently favored by 8 points and have won three straight games. The over/under line for the game is set at 228.5 points.

This Western Conference matchup will be televised on NBCS. The Kings (33-24) are 7th in the West, while the Nuggets (39-19) are 3rd in the conference. Sacramento is 3rd in the Pacific Division and Denver is 3rd in the Northwest.


The Pick: Sacramento Kings +8

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 123-122 in favor of the Nuggets.
  • Our projections have Nikola Jokic finishing with Nikola Jokic points, 12 rebounds and 9 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.0% and knocking down 13 threes.

No Pressure for Sacramento as Away Dogs

Sacramento is 10-7 ATS as the underdog this season and has covered the spread in their last two games as the underdog. As the underdog, they are 7-10 straight up and have a scoring differential of -0.9 points per game.

On the road, the Kings have an average scoring differential of +0.5 points per game. Their ATS record on the road is 18-13, and they have won their last two games against the spread on the road.

In the Western Conference, the Kings are currently in 7th place with a record of 33-24. Against the West, they are 22-15 and 7-6 against other teams in the Pacific Division.

Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is 30-26-1, and their games have averaged 236.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 228.5, and 49 of their games have had higher over/under lines than that.

In their last game, the Kings lost to the Heat by a score of 121-110. The O/U line for that game was 224.5, and Sacramento was favored by 7 points going into the game.

When it comes to scoring the basketball, the Kings are one of the best in the league, averaging 118.5 points per game (8th). However, they have been slightly better at home (121.6 PPG) compared to on the road (115.9 PPG).

In terms of pace, Sacramento plays at the 10th fastest tempo in the NBA (100.1). So far this season, they have outscored the league average in 64.9% of their games.

One of the reasons the Kings are such a high-scoring team is their ability to knock down three-pointers. Sacramento is 4th in the NBA in both three-point attempts (39.6) and makes (14.7) per game. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc (12th).

Currently, the Kings’ defense holds the 23rd rank in the NBA, allowing 117.9 points per game. The Sacramento defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.8% of their field goal attempts vs. Sacramento.

Do the Nuggets Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

As the Nuggets host the Kings, they are favored by 8 points. Denver has won three straight games and is 39-19 overall, which is good for 3rd place in the Western Conference.

Against the spread, the Nuggets have covered in three straight games and are 25-31 on the season. At home, their ATS record is 13-13, compared to 12-18 on the road.

This season, the Nuggets have been favored in 49 of their 58 games. As the favorite, their scoring margin is +5.4 points per game. When favored, their ATS record is 21-26.

In their most recent game, the Nuggets defeated the Warriors by a score of 119-103. Denver was a 2-point underdog going into the game. The O/U line for the game was 232.5.

This season, the average combined scoring total in Nuggets games is 225.2 points. Today’s O/U line of 228.5 is just below their season average of 227.7.

At home, the Nuggets are scoring 119.1 points per game, which is 9th in the league. Overall, Denver is 16th in scoring at 114.5 points per game.

When it comes to pace, the Nuggets are 29th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.

In terms of shooting, Denver is 6th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 27th in three-point shooting at 36%.

Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 7th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.7 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Nuggets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 52.6% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.2% from downtown.