At 9:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-135) will take on the Dallas Mavericks (+112) in a Western Conference matchup. The Kings come in as 2.5-point favorites and have won two straight games. The over/under line for this game is set at 242.

This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, and it can be seen on NBCS. The Kings are currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 25-18. As for the Mavericks, they are 8th in the West at 25-20.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +2.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 9:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-112 in favor of the Kings.
  • Our projections have De’Aaron Fox finishing with De’Aaron Fox points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Kings finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.0% and knocking down 16 threes.

Do the Kings Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?

Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is 21-21-1, and their games have averaged 236.8 points per game compared to today’s line of 242. So far, 33 of their games have had lower O/U lines than this one.

The Kings are 4-6 as the underdog this season and have failed to cover the spread in their last two games as the favorite. Currently, they are favored by 2.5 points over the Mavericks.

In the Western Conference, the Kings are in 5th place with a record of 25-18. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 16-13 and 6-5 in their division. On the road, Sacramento is 13-8.

Sacramento’s last game was a 134-133 win over the Warriors. The O/U line for that game was 243.5, and the Kings were favored by 1.5 points going into the game. This improved their ATS record to 23-20 for the season.

When it comes to scoring, the Kings are one of the top teams in the league, averaging 118.7 points per game (8th). However, they have been slightly better at home (121.3 PPG) compared to on the road (116.0 PPG).

In terms of pace, Sacramento is 9th in the NBA with 100.3 possessions per game. This has helped them become one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, as they are 3rd in both attempts (40.7) and makes (15.2) per game. Overall, they are 11th in three-point shooting percentage (37%).

So far, the Kings have outscored the NBA scoring average in 67.4% of their games. When it comes to assists, they are 5th in the league at 28.8 per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Sacramento is 13th in the NBA at 47%.

On defense, the Kings are ranked 20th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 58.1% of their games. On two point field goal attempts, the Kings’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.6% and allowing 38.9% from beyond the arc.

Does Dallas Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

Dallas is 25-20 this season after defeating the Hawks by a score of 148-143. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 8th place.

As the underdog, the Mavericks have gone 8-12 this season and are 9-11 against the spread as the underdog. Today, they are getting 2.5 points against the Kings.

On average, the Mavericks’ games have finished with 237 points this season, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 242. So far, their O/U record for the season is 25-20.

In their last game, the Mavericks covered the spread as 1.5-point underdogs. The teams combined for 291 points, surpassing the O/U line of 247.5.

Against Western Conference teams, the Mavericks are 18-16 compared to 7-4 in non-conference games. In the Southwest Division, they are in 2nd place.

At home, the Mavericks are averaging 119.8 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in scoring at 118.7 points per game. Dallas is 2nd in three-point attempts and makes, hitting 37% of their shots from beyond the arc.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Mavericks are 10th in the NBA at 55%. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game.

So far, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 55.6% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 16th in the league at 47%.

Facing Sacramento, the Mavericks aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 118.3 points allowed per game (21st). Dallas’ defense is currently forcing 11.8 turnovers per game, which is 3rd in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 26th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.4 rejections per game.