Last Updated: 2019-11-08
The Atlanta Hawks (3-4) will be at home in State Farm Arena when they clash with the Sacramento Kings (2-6). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218.5 points with Sacramento opening as a 1.5-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 8, 2019, and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California.
Sacramento Kings at Atlanta Hawks Odds Preview
The Kings were beaten by the Toronto Raptors in their last matchup, 124-120, but were able to cover as 8-point underdogs. With 26 points on 7-for-15 shooting, Harrison Barnes was the game’s high scorer. Toronto did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (24-29; 82.8 percent). Sacramento, meanwhile, held the Raptors to an offensive rebounding percentage of 6.1 (below their season average of 17.9). The two teams combined to score 244 points, which finished well over the projected point total of 219.
The last time the Hawks played, they were thoroughly outplayed by the Chicago Bulls, 113-93, and were not able to cover as 1-point underdogs. Jabari Parker was Atlanta’s high scorer with 18 points on 6-for-12 shooting. Chicago forced the Hawks into a turnover percentage of 21.2 (above their season average of 15.6). Atlanta, meanwhile, did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (27-35; 77.1 percent). The two clubs collectively scored 206 points, which came in well under the projected point total of 221.
The Kings won both games against the Hawks last season. In the most recent contest, Sacramento won 135-113. The Kings played a nearly flawless game. They had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 35.7 and a turnover percentage of 11.5. The Hawks were 19.1 and 17.1, respectively, for those same stats.
Both of these teams tend to go under the O/U total. Games including Sacramento have finished under 62.5 percent of the time, while 100.0 percent of Atlanta games have finished under. The Hawks come into this game with a significant advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS, while the Kings are 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS.
It might be a mistake-prone game for the Atlanta offense. Since the 2018-19 season, Atlanta ranks 30th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.7 percent), while the pesky defense of Sacramento has forced the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (14.6 percent).
Sacramento Kings vs. Atlanta Hawks Odds Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Hawks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Under
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Betting Notes (2018-Present):
The Kings rank ninth in steals per game (8.2) while the Hawks rank last in steals allowed per game (9.9).
Sacramento averages 13.7 second chance points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.5).
Atlanta ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (51.2) while Sacramento ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.1).
Atlanta ranks 14th in blocks per game (5.1) while Sacramento ranks 25th (4.5).
Atlanta is 4-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Sacramento is 11-0.
When scoring more than 100 points, the Kings are 39-41 and the Hawks are 31-44.
The Hawks average 46.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Kings rank last in rebounds allowed per game (47.4).
Sacramento ranks first in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while Atlanta ranks 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.9).
The Kings average 20.1 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Hawks rank 27th in fast break points allowed per game (16.0).
The Kings rank 12th in assists per game (25.0) while the Hawks rank 29th in assists allowed per game (26.4).
Atlanta averages 36.6 three pointers per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (34.4).