2018-19 Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

Date | AuthorAdmir Aljic

Last Updated: 2018-08-23

sacramento kings season previewThe Sacramento Kings haven’t made it to the post-season for 12 consecutive years, as their fans are hoping for better days. Last year, the Kings finished 12th in the Western Conference and fourth in the Pacific Division with a 27-55 record (14-27 at home, 13-28 on the road), having the worst pace in the league (94.9). The bettors can expect more of the same in this term, but let’s take a closer look at the Sacramento Kings roster along with the latest futures update and season props that are already available on BetDSI Sportsbook.

Sacramento Kings Futures Odds

Win Total Over/Under at 26: Over +105; Under -125
To Win the Pacific Division at +75000
To Win the Western Conference at +31500
To Win the NBA Championship at +50000
To Make NBA Playoffs: YES +2200, NO -10000 (Bet365 Sportsbook)

Sacramento Kings Player Movement

Draft: Marvin Bagley III (No. 2 Pick)

Added: Yogi Ferrell (free agency, Dallas Mavericks), Nemanja Bjelica (free agency, Minnesota Timberwolves), Ben McLemore (trade with Memphis Grizzlies), Deyonta Davis (trade with Memphis Grizzlies)

Lost: Garrett Temple (traded to Memphis Grizzlies), Vince Carter (signed with Atlanta Hawks)

Unrestricted Free Agent: Jack Cooley

At the 2018 NBA Draft, the Sacramento Kings selected Marvin Bagley III with the 2nd overall pick. Bagley spent one year at Duke, averaging a double-double (21.0 points and 11.1 rebounds) while shooting 61.4% from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc. He established himself as one of the most prolific scorers in the college basketball, earning an ACC Player of the Year Award and entering a 2018 Consensus All America First Team. Loves to run the floor, as he’s pretty quick for a big man while doing most of his damage around the rim thanks to a great leaping ability and soft touch. Bagley is a solid defender, especially in one-on-one situations, and has a lot of room to improve his defense during the rookie season.

The Kings signed Yogi Ferrell who spent the last year and a half in Dallas, and the 25-year old playmaker should be coming off the bench this season. Ferrell averaged 10.2 points and 2.5 assists per game last season, playing in all 82 games for the Mavericks, 21 times as a starter at point guard. Nemanja Bjelica should be another important addition for the Kings, as the 30-year old wingman is a solid two-way player who had an important role for the Timberwolves last year when Jimmy Butler was sidelined with an injury. In three years in Minnesota, Bjelica averaged 6.1 points and 4.1 rebounds in 20.5 minutes per game, while hitting 41.5% of his 3-pointers, proving he’s a great spot-up shooter.

Sacramento Kings 2018-19 Roster

The Kings have a young team, and the head coach Dave Joerger should make a lot of changes in the starting lineup during the 2018-19 season, similar like he did in the previous season. However, the experienced two-time All-Star Zach Randolph was the teams’ leading scorer last year, averaging 14.5 points and 6.7 rebounds in 25.6 minutes per game. Randolph will continue to contribute, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Kings decide to trade him during the season, as Zach could be a nice addition for every championship contender.

Buddy Hield had a solid season, mostly coming off the bench to record 13.5 points and 3.8 rebounds on 44.6% shooting from the field and 43.1% from beyond the arc. Hield is among the most efficient 3-point shooters in the league, and he should get more minutes this season, probably in the starting lineup. De’Aaron Fox will be a starting point guard after playing 27.8 minutes per game in his rookie season to average 11.6 points and 4.4 assists on 41.2% shooting from the field. Fox started in 60 games last season, showing some brilliant potential, so the fans expect to see more in this term from the 20-year old playmaker.

Bogdan Bogdanovic had a terrific rookie season, averaging 11.8 points, 2.9 rebounds, and 3.3 assists in 27.9 minutes per game, becoming an important part of the Kings’ rotation. The 27th overall pick from the 2014 NBA Draft can cover multiple positions, mostly appearing as a shooting guard or small forward, but with good playmaking skills, Bogdanovic can also play at point guard. Justin Jackson should be a backup option, and the 23-year old wing didn’t impress in his rookie season, averaging 6.7 points and 2.8 rebounds in 22.1 minutes per game.

The talented big man Willie Cauley-Stein will be the starting center, entering his fourth season with the Kings. Last year, Cauley-Stein improved his game a lot to average 12.8 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 2.4 assists in 28.0 minutes per game while hitting 50.2% of his field goals. Willie should benefit from playing alongside Marvin Bagley III as he should get more space in the paint for his powerful moves.

Players Under Contract:

De’Aaron Fox (PG), Yogi Ferrell (PG), Frank Mason III (PG)
Buddy Hield (SG), Ben McLemore (SG), Iman Shumpert (SG)
Bogdan Bogdanovic (SG-SF), Justin Jackson (SF), Nemanja Bjelica (SF-PF)
Marvin Bagley III (PF), Skal Labissiere (PF), Harry Giles (PF)
Willie Cauley-Stein (C), Zach Randolph (C), Kosta Koufos (C), Deyonta Davis (C)

Win Total Prediction and Betting Picks

The bookies consider the Sacramento Kings as the biggest underdogs to win the 2019 NBA Championship, setting the odds at +35000, while the wages are at -10000 on the Kings to miss the playoffs for the 13th year in a row. Surely, the Kings will have a difficult season in the Western Conference where no one expects much from them, so Dave Joerger’s boys can play in a relaxed manner and try to grow as a team.

The line on the total win at 25.5 games is a tricky one, and I think the Kings will be somewhere around the 25-win mark, while they could easily tank the 2018-19 season if something goes wrong. As a losing team, the Kings should be a nice pick for the bettors during the season, as wagering against Sacramento could earn some nice wages. According to 5Dimes Sportsbook, Marvin Bagley III is the fifth strongest fave to win the 2019 NBA Rookie of the Year Award with the odds at +850, and this is something the bettors should think about ahead of the upcoming season.

The Pick: Over 26 (+105)

Prediction: 13th in the Western Conference

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