Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Colonials and Mastodons. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Mastodons at Allen County War Memorial Coliseum in Fort Wayne, IN. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Horizon League conference contest is set at 147 points, with Purdue Fort Wayne being favored by -11.5 at home against Robert Morris.


The Pick: Robert Morris Colonials +11.5

This game will be played at Allen County War Memorial Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-71 in favor of the Mastodons.
  • Even though we have Purdue Fort Wayne winning straight-up, we like Robert Morris at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Colonials Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Robert Morris is coming off of a 83-65 loss to Purdue Fort Wayne, and they have lost six straight games. On the road, the Colonials have gone just 3-12 this season, and they have gone 0-3 in their last three games away from home.

So far this season, Robert Morris has been the underdog in 21 of their 31 games, and they have gone just 2-19 in those games. They are 10-21 overall, and they are 6-14 in Horizon League play.

Robert Morris has an ATS record of 15-14 this season, including an 8-7 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Colonials are 11-10 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Robert Morris is 5-5 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 147 is in line with the average over/under line in Robert Morris games this season (145.2). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 140 points. On the season, their over/under mark is 17-12.

In contrast to their season average of 73 points per game, the Robert Morris had a below average performance. They scored 65 points against Purdue Fort Wayne and had a field goal percentage of 39.4%. Offensively, the Colonials have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 294th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 270th in percentage and 89th in three-pointers made.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Robert Morris is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 75.7 points per game (265th). On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.7 threes per game vs. Purdue Fort Wayne. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.5%.

Will the Mastodons Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

After picking up a win against Robert Morris in their last game, the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons will look to build off their 20-11 overall record as they enter tonight’s game as 11.5-point favorites. At home this season, the Mastodons have gone 9-5, and over their last ten games at home, they have gone 5-5.

So far this season, Purdue Fort Wayne has been favored in 17 of their 31 games, going 12-5 in those games. For the year, they have gone 10-9 in Horizon League play, and their average scoring margin at home is +7.9 points per game.

As the favorite, Purdue Fort Wayne has gone 10-7 vs. the spread this season. Their ATS mark at home is 7-7 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mastodons are 5-5.

On the season, the over/under record for Purdue Fort Wayne games is 17-11. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 152.3 points compared to an average over/under line of 151.1, resulting in a margin of +1.1 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 162 points. Over their last five games, the average scoring total is 156 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Purdue Fort Wayne offense tallied 83 points in a matchup against Robert Morris. Their field goal percentage for the game was 50.8%, and they made 12 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Jalen Jackson, who is averaging 16.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Rasheed Bello also maintains a PPG average of 15.1 heading into game.

In terms of defense, Purdue Fort Wayne is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.5 points per game. So far, the Purdue Fort Wayne defense is giving up an average of 8.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.7 times per game (400th).