Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Broncs versus the Purple Eagles? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Gallagher Center in Niagara Falls, NY. The over/under for this Metro Atlantic Athletic conference contest is set at 145.5 points, with Niagara being favored by -2.5 at home against Rider.


The Pick: Niagara Purple Eagles -2.5

This game will be played at Gallagher Center at 7:00 ET on Friday, March 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Purple Eagles.
  • Not only will Niagara pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Broncs Pull Off a Win at Niagara Falls?

With a 12-16 record, Rider is the underdog in this game, as they have gone 4-12 on the road this season. The Broncs have won four straight games, including their most recent matchup against Quinnipiac, which they won by a score of 88-78. Over their last ten games away from home, they have gone 4-6.

For the season, Rider has gone 9-8 in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference play, compared to their 3-8 record in non-conference games. As the underdog, the Broncs have gone 4-12 this season, and they are 7-4 when playing at home.

As the underdog, Rider has gone 6-9-1 against the spread this season and they are 13-13-1 overall. On the road, the Broncs have an ATS mark of 6-9-1 and they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Rider has an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games as the road underdog and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Rider’s games this season (142.9). So far this year, the over/under record in their games is 18-9. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 161 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

Rider’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Quinnipiac, finishing the game with a total of 88 points. Their season average is now 73.7 points per game. Mervin James is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 19 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Allen Powell brings a PPG average of 10.6 into the game.

At present, the Broncs’ defense is nationally ranked 230th, allowing 74.3 points per game. Rider’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Quinnipiac offense to knock down 53% of their shots on their way to putting up 78 points.

Is a Home Win Possible for Niagara?

After losing their last game to Canisius by a score of 69-59, Niagara’s record now stands at 14-12. At home, the Purple Eagles have gone 4-7 this season, and they are 5-5 in their last ten games at home.

So far, Niagara has been favored in 11 of their games, and they have a record of 5-6 in those matchups. On the year, they have gone 10-6 in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference play, and their overall record is 14-12.

As the favorite this season, Niagara is just 5-6 against the spread. At home, the Purple Eagles are 4-7 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Niagara has gone 5-5 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Niagara games is 14-10-1, and today’s line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (139.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points, which is lower than today’s OU line. In their last 10 games, the over/under record is 3-7.

In contrast to their season average of 74.3 points per game, the Niagara had a below average performance. They scored 59 points against Canisius and had a field goal percentage of 36%. In terms of offense, the Purple Eagles have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 65th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 80th in percentage and 301st in three-pointers made.

On defense, Niagara is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.8 points per game. Niagara’s three-point defense is currently 23rd in the country at 5.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.8% of their shots vs. Niagara.