Raiders vs. Broncos Monday Night Football Prop Picks
- Updated: September 23, 2013
It’s Monday night, and that means that there is just one more game with which to handicap on the NFL card. The Denver Broncos will play host to the Oakland Raiders in this edition of Monday Night Football, and we have some great MNF props covered so you can find an alternative way to beat the NFL betting lines in this one.
Total Punts Over 8.5 – Here’s the stat of the day that you haven’t thought about when it comes to this game between the Broncos and the Raiders: Denver has punted the ball seven times and five times over the course of its first two games of the season. That’s right. With all of those touchdowns and all of those yards, the Broncos had more punts than almost any other team in the league through two weeks of play. Heck, there are a few teams that don’t have that many punts through three games. QB Peyton Manning and the crew run a ton of drives, and tonight isn’t going to be an exception to that rule. The Broncos are a great punting team, especially here at home, and Head Coach John Fox, in spite of his outstanding offense, isn’t afraid to leave the game in the hands of the defense if he can win the battle of field position with P Britton Colquitt booming the ball in the thin Mile High air. This one should easily get to at least 10 or 11 punts.
Darren McFadden Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-125) – It’s not going to be easy to get Run DMC to 66 rushing yards in this game, but we think that Oakland has the formula set that it is going to use to get this one going. McFadden is going to get the ball in his gut at least 15 times in this one, and we have to think that it is going to happen around 20 when push comes to shove. It’s tough to run the ball on the Denver front, but the offensive line for the Raiders has actually been a surprisingly good unit thus far this year. Granted, this is a tough task, and one that is tougher than we have seen thus far on the season, but we know that the possibility is there for McFadden to bust off some big ones. He’ll be a great play on Monday Night Football.
Peyton Manning Under 315.5 Passing Yards (+100) – Look, there is a point that Manning isn’t going to throw for 300 yards in a game, and there are a couple possibilities for that to happen in this one. The first is that this game could become such a bloody blowout that Manning is watching QB Brock Osweiler throw passes in the fourth quarter. The second is that DB Charles Woodson and the Raiders might actually be able to slow this unit down just a bit. Woodson has had a great year in Oakland thus far, and he and his mates can defend the pass with at least a bit of efficiency. There might be a point that the Denver offense just proves that it is the best in the league this year, but with the lack of a running game, Manning and the Broncos are going to be under the gun. It’s at least plausible to think that Manning won’t get to 300 in this one.
Knowshon Moreno Under 85.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-105) – Do you have any idea who is going to be getting the lion share of the carries in the Denver backfield in this game? Sure, Moreno had the hot hand last week, but that doesn’t mean a darn thing this time around. We know that RB Montee Ball and RB Ronnie Hillman are going to get at least a few looks as well, and that’s going to take away from what Moreno can produce. If you look at all of the over/unders for the Denver offense, the implication is there that this team is going to have almost 600 yards of offense, and that clearly isn’t going to be the case. These ‘unders’ have to cash eventually for a team that scored 40+ in each of its first two games of the season.
Wes Welker Under 6.5 Receptions (-105) – Welker had nine receptions last week. WR Eric Decker had nine receptions the week before. Aside from that, no one has had more than five catches in a game from Manning at this point, and we have to think that that is going to continue. Just think about the pace that Manning is on right now. He could complete 500 passes and throw for 6,000 yards. He’s great, but he’s not THAT great. Welker might have a huge game, but we think that he is going to have a lot more games when he catches three and four passes than he does posting games with at least seven receptions, and in an de facto 50/50 proposition, we’ll take our chances.