The Highlanders and Lancers are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPNU. The Lancers will host the game at Joan Perry Brock Center in Farmville, VA. The over/under for this game is set at 134.5 points, and the Lancers are the home favorites against the Highlanders in a Big South conference matchup.
RADFORD HIGHLANDERS VS LONGWOOD LANCERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Longwood Lancers -5.5
This game will be played at Joan Perry Brock Center at 9:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE LONGWOOD LANCERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Lancers.
- Not only will Longwood pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Can Radford Stun the Crowd at Joan Perry Brock Center?
Radford comes into this game as the underdog, as they are 2-5 when not favored this year. They are also 3-5 on the road this season, compared to 5-1 at home.
Radford has lost two straight games, and they are 10-6 overall this season. They are 0-1 in Big South games, and 10-5 in non-conference games. So far, they have gone 4-6 in their last ten road games, and 3-2 in their last five.
Radford has been a solid bet against the spread this season with a 9-4-1 record. Their ATS mark on the road is 6-2 and they have gone 7-3 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games. As the underdog this year, the Highlanders are 5-2 vs. the spread and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games as the underdog.
This season, the over/under record in Radford games is 9-4-1. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 143.1 points, which is higher than the average over/under line in their games of 140.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their last three games (146 points), but higher than the average scoring total in their last five games (139 points).
Coming off their recent game, the Radford offense tallied 71 points in a matchup against High Point. Their field goal percentage for the game was 49.1%, and they made 6 threes. Kenyon Giles is leading the team in scoring at 14.7 points per contest. DaQuan Smith has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.1 going into the game.
Currently, the Highlanders’ defense holds the 123rd rank in the nation, allowing 69.6 points per game. In their previous game vs. High Point, the Panthers finished with a field goal percentage of 49% and a total of 85 points vs. Radford.
Can the Lancers Grab a Win at Home?
Longwood is 6-0 at home this season, and they have won six straight games at home. Over their last 10 home games, the Lancers are 9-1.
For the season, Longwood has a scoring margin of +13.5 points per game at home, compared to +6.4 on the road. They have been the favorite in 11 of their 17 games, going 10-1 in those matchups.
When looking at Longwood’s ATS record this season, they are 9-4. At home, their ATS record is 4-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lancers have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.
Longwood’s over/under record for the season is 7-6 and today’s line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (140.2). So far, 11 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points compared to their season average of 139.8 points per game.
The Lancers’ offense wrapped up their last game with 77 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 77.3 points per contest. Michael Christmas led the team in scoring, putting up 15 points. Additionally, Szymon Zapala contributed 13 points for the Lancers.
Coming into today’s game, the Longwood defense is giving up an average of 62.6 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Longwood’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 25.5% this season.